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Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Derrick Henry vs Nick Chubb

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Derrick Henry is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Derrick Henry outscored Nick Chubb by 10.5 PPG in 2025 with 16 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Derrick Henry is the clear pick. Nick Chubb profiles as a matchup-dependent running back who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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RBBaltimore Ravens#7PPG LEADER
Derrick Henry
PPG
16.0
Games
17
Rush Yds
1,595
Rush TDs
16
Rec
15
Rec Yds
150
Bye
Week 7
RBHouston Texans#59
Nick Chubb
PPG
5.5
Games
15
Rush Yds
506
Rush TDs
3
Rec
13
Rec Yds
67
Bye
Week 6

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Derrick Henry
Nick Chubb

Head to Head

16.0 PPG5.5 PPG
17 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Derrick Henry: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) RB (ranked #7 at the position). Nick Chubb: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #59 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Derrick Henry is producing at 73% of elite pace and Nick Chubb at 25%. That ranking gap means Derrick Henry carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Derrick Henry vs Nick Chubb: Who Should You Start?

The numbers tell a clear story here. Derrick Henry put up 16.0 fantasy points per game for the Baltimore Ravens in 2025, while Nick Chubb managed 5.5 across 15 games with the Houston Texans. A 10.5-point weekly edge is substantial at the running back position.

That 10.5-point weekly advantage for Derrick Henry is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Derrick Henry ran for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns; Nick Chubb posted 506 and 3. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Derrick Henry sits Week 7 while Nick Chubb is off Week 6. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Derrick Henry is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Nick Chubb is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Derrick Henry (age 32, 9 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value. Nick Chubb (age 30, 7 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Derrick Henry outscored Nick Chubb by a projected 179 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Derrick Henry played 17 games in 2025 compared to Nick Chubb's 15. That durability gap means Derrick Henry contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Derrick Henry scored 16 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.9 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatHenryChubb
PPG (Half-PPR)16.05.5
Games Played1715
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)27283
Rushing Yards1,595506
Rush Yds/Game93.833.7
Rushing TDs163
Receptions1513
Receiving Yards15067
Targets2120
Total TDs163
Age3230
Experience9 yrs7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 6

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Derrick Henry at 16.0 PPG, 10.5 points per game above Nick Chubb's 5.5. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Derrick Henry or Nick Chubb in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Derrick Henry has the edge at 16.0 PPG compared to Nick Chubb's 5.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Derrick Henry and Nick Chubb average in 2025?

Derrick Henry averaged 16.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 10.5 points per game.

When are Derrick Henry and Nick Chubb's bye weeks in 2026?

Derrick Henry (BAL) has a bye in Week 7, and Nick Chubb (HOU) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Derrick Henry or Nick Chubb a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Derrick Henry outscored Nick Chubb by 10.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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