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Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Bijan Robinson vs Derrick Henry

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Bijan Robinson is the better fantasy play this season.

Bijan Robinson has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.5-PPG advantage is real (19.5 to 16.0), and Bijan Robinson's 11 touchdowns show scoring upside. Derrick Henry is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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RBAtlanta Falcons#3PPG LEADER
Bijan Robinson
PPG
19.5
Games
17
Rush Yds
1,478
Rush TDs
7
Rec
79
Rec Yds
820
Bye
Week 5
RBBaltimore Ravens#7
Derrick Henry
PPG
16.0
Games
17
Rush Yds
1,595
Rush TDs
16
Rec
15
Rec Yds
150
Bye
Week 7

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Bijan Robinson
Derrick Henry

Head to Head

19.5 PPG16.0 PPG
17 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 5Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Bijan Robinson: Tier 1 (Elite) RB (ranked #3 at the position). Derrick Henry: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) RB (ranked #7 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Bijan Robinson is producing at 89% of elite pace and Derrick Henry at 73%. That ranking gap means Bijan Robinson carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Bijan Robinson vs Derrick Henry: Who Should You Start?

Bijan Robinson and Derrick Henry are both viable fantasy running backs heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Bijan Robinson averaged 19.5 PPG across 17 games with the Atlanta Falcons, while Derrick Henry posted 16.0 PPG in 17 appearances for the Baltimore Ravens.

A 3.5-PPG gap gives Bijan Robinson the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Bijan Robinson is the receiving back in this matchup, turning 79 targets into 820 yards, while Derrick Henry profiles as a more traditional rusher with 1595 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns. In PPR and half-PPR formats Bijan Robinson carries the higher weekly floor. In standard leagues the gap tightens considerably.

One scheduling note: Bijan Robinson is off Week 5 and Derrick Henry Week 7. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in running back for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Bijan Robinson at a discount because your league-mates undervalue running back production, do it. Derrick Henry is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Bijan Robinson (age 24) has not yet hit the RB cliff. High dynasty ceiling if volume holds. Derrick Henry (age 32, 9 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Bijan Robinson outscored Derrick Henry by a projected 60 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Derrick Henry scored 16 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.9 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
  • Bijan Robinson caught 79 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.
  • Bijan Robinson is 8 years younger than Derrick Henry (24 vs 32), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatRobinsonHenry
PPG (Half-PPR)19.516.0
Games Played1717
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)332272
Rushing Yards1,4781,595
Rush Yds/Game86.993.8
Rushing TDs716
Receptions7915
Receiving Yards820150
Targets10321
Total TDs1116
Age2432
Experience2 yrs9 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 5Week 7

Summary

Bijan Robinson outscored Derrick Henry by 3.5 PPG in 2025 (19.5 to 16.0). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Bijan Robinson or Derrick Henry in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Bijan Robinson has the edge at 19.5 PPG compared to Derrick Henry's 16.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Bijan Robinson and Derrick Henry average in 2025?

Bijan Robinson averaged 19.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Derrick Henry averaged 16.0 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 3.5 points per game.

When are Bijan Robinson and Derrick Henry's bye weeks in 2026?

Bijan Robinson (ATL) has a bye in Week 5, and Derrick Henry (BAL) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Bijan Robinson or Derrick Henry a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Bijan Robinson outscored Derrick Henry by 3.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.