DraftCall
DraftCallFantasy Football

Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Joe Burrow vs Josh Allen

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Josh Allen is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Josh Allen outscored Joe Burrow by 6.0 PPG in 2025 with 39 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Josh Allen is the clear pick. Joe Burrow profiles as a matchup-dependent quarterback who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

Want this verdict updated live on Sunday?

The DraftCall app pushes alerts the moment Joe Burrow or Josh Allen's status changes. Free.

Get the App
QBCincinnati Bengals#15
Joe Burrow
PPG
16.8
Games
8
Pass Yds
1,809
Pass TDs
17
Bye
Week 10
QBBuffalo Bills#1PPG LEADER
Josh Allen
PPG
22.8
Games
16
Pass Yds
3,668
Pass TDs
25
Rush Yds
579
Rush TDs
14
Bye
Week 7

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Joe Burrow
Josh Allen

Head to Head

16.8 PPG22.8 PPG
8 GP16 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Joe Burrow: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #15 at the position). Josh Allen: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #1 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Joe Burrow is producing at 76% of elite pace and Josh Allen at 104%. That ranking gap means Josh Allen carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Joe Burrow vs Josh Allen: Who Should You Start?

There is a real production gap between these two quarterbacks. Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills) averaged 22.8 PPG over 16 games in 2025, outscoring Joe Burrow (Cincinnati Bengals, 16.8 PPG) by 6.0 points per week. That separation would need a significant matchup swing to overcome.

The per-game difference of 6.0 points favors Josh Allen, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Josh Allen offers meaningful rushing upside with 579 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Joe Burrow (1809 passing yards, 17 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

One scheduling note: Joe Burrow is off Week 10 and Josh Allen Week 7. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Josh Allen is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Joe Burrow is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Joe Burrow (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Josh Allen (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Josh Allen outscored Joe Burrow by a projected 102 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Josh Allen played 16 games in 2025 compared to Joe Burrow's 8. That durability gap means Josh Allen contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Josh Allen scored 39 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Josh Allen added 579 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatBurrowAllen
PPG (Half-PPR)16.822.8
Games Played816
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)134365
Passing Yards1,8093,668
Passing TDs1725
Pass Yds/Game226.1229.3
Rushing Yards41579
Rushing TDs014
Total TDs1739
TDs/Game2.12.4
Age2929
Experience5 yrs7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 7

Summary

22.8 PPG for Josh Allen versus 16.8 for Joe Burrow in 2025. The baseline favors Josh Allen, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

DraftCall app on iPhone

Website vs App

Get the AI verdict on Joe Burrow vs Josh Allen

DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality, recent trends, injury impact, and game script to give you a clear start/sit recommendation.

See everything in the app →

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Joe Burrow or Josh Allen in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Josh Allen has the edge at 22.8 PPG compared to Joe Burrow's 16.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Joe Burrow and Josh Allen average in 2025?

Joe Burrow averaged 16.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 8 games in 2025. Josh Allen averaged 22.8 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 6.0 points per game.

When are Joe Burrow and Josh Allen's bye weeks in 2026?

Joe Burrow (CIN) has a bye in Week 10, and Josh Allen (BUF) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Joe Burrow or Josh Allen a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Josh Allen outscored Joe Burrow by 6.0 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

Fantasy Managers Also Compared

Similar matchups other managers are researching right now.