Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Derrick Henry vs Justice Hill

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Derrick Henry is the better fantasy play this season.

Derrick Henry is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 16.0 PPG and 1,745 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Justice Hill (6.1 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Derrick Henry as the starter and Justice Hill as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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RBBaltimore Ravens#7PPG LEADER

Derrick Henry

PPG

16.0

Games

Rush Yds

1,595

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

150

Bye

Week 7

RBBaltimore Ravens#53

Justice Hill

PPG

6.1

Games

Rush Yds

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

169

Bye

Week 7

The Edge Chart

Derrick Henry

Justice Hill

Head to Head

16.0 PPG6.1 PPG

17 GP9 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Derrick Henry: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) RB (ranked #7 at the position). Justice Hill: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #53 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Derrick Henry is producing at 73% of elite pace and Justice Hill at 28%. That ranking gap means Derrick Henry carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Derrick Henry vs Justice Hill: Who Should You Start?

There is a real production gap between these two running backs. Derrick Henry (Baltimore Ravens) averaged 16.0 PPG over 17 games in 2025, outscoring Justice Hill (Baltimore Ravens, 6.1 PPG) by 9.9 points per week. That separation would need a significant matchup swing to overcome.

Derrick Henry carries a 9.9-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Derrick Henry ran for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns; Justice Hill posted 93 and 2. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 7 bye. That means you need a backup plan at running back for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Derrick Henry at a discount because your league-mates undervalue running back production, do it. Justice Hill is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Derrick Henry (age 32, 9 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value. Justice Hill (age 28, 6 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Derrick Henry outscored Justice Hill by a projected 168 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Derrick Henry played 17 games in 2025 compared to Justice Hill's 9. That durability gap means Derrick Henry contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Derrick Henry scored 16 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.9 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
•Justice Hill is 4 years younger than Derrick Henry (28 vs 32), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.
•Both players share a Week 7 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown▾

StatHenryHill

PPG (Half-PPR)16.06.1

Games Played179

Total Fantasy Pts (est.)27255

Rushing Yards1,59593

Rush Yds/Game93.810.3

Rushing TDs162

Receptions1521

Receiving Yards150169

Targets2127

Total TDs163

Age3228

Experience9 yrs6 yrs

Bye WeekWeek 7Week 7

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Derrick Henry holds the PPG edge with solid output at 16.0 points per game. Justice Hill averaged 6.1 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Derrick Henry or Justice Hill in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Derrick Henry has the edge at 16.0 PPG compared to Justice Hill's 6.1 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Derrick Henry and Justice Hill average in 2025?▾

Derrick Henry averaged 16.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Justice Hill averaged 6.1 PPG over 9 games. That is a difference of 9.9 points per game.

Do Derrick Henry and Justice Hill share a bye week?▾

Yes, both Derrick Henry and Justice Hill share a Week 7 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at running back for that week.

Is Derrick Henry or Justice Hill a better fantasy running back in 2026?▾

Derrick Henry outscored Justice Hill by 9.9 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.