Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Geno Smith vs Matthew Stafford

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Matthew Stafford is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Matthew Stafford outscored Geno Smith by 9.0 PPG in 2025 with 46 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Matthew Stafford is the clear pick. Geno Smith profiles as a matchup-dependent quarterback who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBLas Vegas Raiders#34

Geno Smith

PPG

11.6

Games

Pass Yds

3,025

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

109

Bye

Week 8

QBLos Angeles Rams#3PPG LEADER

Matthew Stafford

PPG

20.6

Games

Pass Yds

4,707

Pass TDs

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Geno Smith

Matthew Stafford

Head to Head

11.6 PPG20.6 PPG

15 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Geno Smith: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #34 at the position). Matthew Stafford: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #3 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Geno Smith is producing at 53% of elite pace and Matthew Stafford at 94%. That ranking gap means Matthew Stafford carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Geno Smith vs Matthew Stafford: Who Should You Start?

There is a real production gap between these two quarterbacks. Matthew Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) averaged 20.6 PPG over 17 games in 2025, outscoring Geno Smith (Las Vegas Raiders, 11.6 PPG) by 9.0 points per week. That separation would need a significant matchup swing to overcome.

The per-game difference of 9.0 points favors Matthew Stafford, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Geno Smith threw for 3025 yards and 19 touchdowns, while Matthew Stafford posted 4707 yards and 46 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Both share a Week 8 bye, which matters for roster construction. If you are stacking quarterbacks this deep on your bench, plan your replacement quarterback early.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Matthew Stafford is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Geno Smith is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Geno Smith (age 35) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Matthew Stafford (age 38) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year.

Did You Know?

•Matthew Stafford outscored Geno Smith by a projected 153 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Matthew Stafford played 17 games in 2025 compared to Geno Smith's 15. That durability gap means Matthew Stafford contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Matthew Stafford scored 46 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.7 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Both players share a Week 8 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown▾

StatSmithStafford

PPG (Half-PPR)11.620.6

Games Played1517

Total Fantasy Pts (est.)174350

Passing Yards3,0254,707

Passing TDs1946

Pass Yds/Game201.7276.9

Rushing Yards1091

Rushing TDs00

Total TDs1946

TDs/Game1.32.7

Age3538

Experience12 yrs16 yrs

Bye WeekWeek 8Week 8

Summary

20.6 PPG for Matthew Stafford versus 11.6 for Geno Smith in 2025. The baseline favors Matthew Stafford, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Geno Smith or Matthew Stafford in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Matthew Stafford has the edge at 20.6 PPG compared to Geno Smith's 11.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Geno Smith and Matthew Stafford average in 2025?▾

Geno Smith averaged 11.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Matthew Stafford averaged 20.6 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 9.0 points per game.

Do Geno Smith and Matthew Stafford share a bye week?▾

Yes, both Geno Smith and Matthew Stafford share a Week 8 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at quarterback for that week.

Is Geno Smith or Matthew Stafford a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Matthew Stafford outscored Geno Smith by 9.0 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.