Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Geno Smith vs Trevor Lawrence

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Trevor Lawrence is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Trevor Lawrence outscored Geno Smith by 8.3 PPG in 2025 with 38 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Trevor Lawrence is the clear pick. Geno Smith profiles as a matchup-dependent quarterback who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBLas Vegas Raiders#34

Geno Smith

PPG

11.6

Games

Pass Yds

3,025

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

109

Bye

Week 8

QBJacksonville Jaguars#5PPG LEADER

Trevor Lawrence

PPG

19.9

Games

Pass Yds

4,007

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

359

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Geno Smith

Trevor Lawrence

Head to Head

11.6 PPG19.9 PPG

15 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Geno Smith: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #34 at the position). Trevor Lawrence: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #5 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Geno Smith is producing at 53% of elite pace and Trevor Lawrence at 90%. That ranking gap means Trevor Lawrence carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Geno Smith vs Trevor Lawrence: Who Should You Start?

There is a real production gap between these two quarterbacks. Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) averaged 19.9 PPG over 17 games in 2025, outscoring Geno Smith (Las Vegas Raiders, 11.6 PPG) by 8.3 points per week. That separation would need a significant matchup swing to overcome.

The per-game difference of 8.3 points favors Trevor Lawrence, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Geno Smith threw for 3025 yards and 19 touchdowns, while Trevor Lawrence posted 4007 yards and 29 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Both share a Week 8 bye, which matters for roster construction. If you are stacking quarterbacks this deep on your bench, plan your replacement quarterback early.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Trevor Lawrence is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Geno Smith is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Geno Smith (age 35) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Trevor Lawrence (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Trevor Lawrence outscored Geno Smith by a projected 141 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Trevor Lawrence played 17 games in 2025 compared to Geno Smith's 15. That durability gap means Trevor Lawrence contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Trevor Lawrence scored 38 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Trevor Lawrence added 359 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
•Trevor Lawrence is 9 years younger than Geno Smith (26 vs 35), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown▾

StatSmithLawrence

PPG (Half-PPR)11.619.9

Games Played1517

Total Fantasy Pts (est.)174338

Passing Yards3,0254,007

Passing TDs1929

Pass Yds/Game201.7235.7

Rushing Yards109359

Rushing TDs09

Total TDs1938

TDs/Game1.32.2

Age3526

Experience12 yrs4 yrs

Bye WeekWeek 8Week 8

Summary

19.9 PPG for Trevor Lawrence versus 11.6 for Geno Smith in 2025. The baseline favors Trevor Lawrence, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Geno Smith or Trevor Lawrence in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Trevor Lawrence has the edge at 19.9 PPG compared to Geno Smith's 11.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Geno Smith and Trevor Lawrence average in 2025?▾

Geno Smith averaged 11.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Trevor Lawrence averaged 19.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 8.3 points per game.

Do Geno Smith and Trevor Lawrence share a bye week?▾

Yes, both Geno Smith and Trevor Lawrence share a Week 8 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at quarterback for that week.

Is Geno Smith or Trevor Lawrence a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Trevor Lawrence outscored Geno Smith by 8.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.