Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Davis Mills vs Jalen Hurts

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Jalen Hurts is the better fantasy play this season.

Jalen Hurts is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 18.8 PPG and 3,645 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Davis Mills (11.4 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Jalen Hurts as the starter and Davis Mills as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBHouston Texans#36

Davis Mills

PPG

11.4

Games

Pass Yds

915

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 6

QBPhiladelphia Eagles#7PPG LEADER

Jalen Hurts

PPG

18.8

Games

Pass Yds

3,224

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

421

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 9

The Edge Chart

Davis Mills

Jalen Hurts

Head to Head

11.4 PPG18.8 PPG

6 GP16 GP

Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 9

Fantasy Tiers

Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Jalen Hurts: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #7 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Davis Mills is producing at 52% of elite pace and Jalen Hurts at 85%. That ranking gap means Jalen Hurts carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Davis Mills vs Jalen Hurts: Who Should You Start?

There is a real production gap between these two quarterbacks. Jalen Hurts (Philadelphia Eagles) averaged 18.8 PPG over 16 games in 2025, outscoring Davis Mills (Houston Texans, 11.4 PPG) by 7.4 points per week. That separation would need a significant matchup swing to overcome.

A 7.4-PPG gap gives Jalen Hurts the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Jalen Hurts offers meaningful rushing upside with 421 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Davis Mills (915 passing yards, 5 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

One scheduling note: Davis Mills is off Week 6 and Jalen Hurts Week 9. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Jalen Hurts at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Davis Mills is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Jalen Hurts (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Jalen Hurts outscored Davis Mills by a projected 126 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Jalen Hurts played 16 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means Jalen Hurts contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Jalen Hurts scored 33 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.1 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Jalen Hurts added 421 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown▾

StatMillsHurts

PPG (Half-PPR)11.418.8

Games Played616

Total Fantasy Pts (est.)68301

Passing Yards9153,224

Passing TDs525

Pass Yds/Game152.5201.5

Rushing Yards60421

Rushing TDs18

Total TDs633

TDs/Game1.02.1

Age2727

Experience4 yrs5 yrs

Bye WeekWeek 6Week 9

Summary

Jalen Hurts outscored Davis Mills by 7.4 PPG in 2025 (18.8 to 11.4). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Davis Mills or Jalen Hurts in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Jalen Hurts has the edge at 18.8 PPG compared to Davis Mills's 11.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Davis Mills and Jalen Hurts average in 2025?▾

Davis Mills averaged 11.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 6 games in 2025. Jalen Hurts averaged 18.8 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 7.4 points per game.

When are Davis Mills and Jalen Hurts's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Davis Mills (HOU) has a bye in Week 6, and Jalen Hurts (PHI) has a bye in Week 9. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Davis Mills or Jalen Hurts a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Jalen Hurts outscored Davis Mills by 7.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.