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Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Davis Mills vs Trevor Lawrence

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Trevor Lawrence is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Trevor Lawrence outscored Davis Mills by 8.5 PPG in 2025 with 38 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Trevor Lawrence is the clear pick. Davis Mills profiles as a matchup-dependent quarterback who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBHouston Texans#36
Davis Mills
PPG
11.4
Games
6
Pass Yds
915
Pass TDs
5
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 6
QBJacksonville Jaguars#5PPG LEADER
Trevor Lawrence
PPG
19.9
Games
17
Pass Yds
4,007
Pass TDs
29
Rush Yds
359
Rush TDs
9
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Davis Mills
Trevor Lawrence

Head to Head

11.4 PPG19.9 PPG
6 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Trevor Lawrence: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #5 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Davis Mills is producing at 52% of elite pace and Trevor Lawrence at 90%. That ranking gap means Trevor Lawrence carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Davis Mills vs Trevor Lawrence: Who Should You Start?

Trevor Lawrence and Davis Mills are at different tiers heading into 2026. The Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback averaged 19.9 PPG in 2025, a full 8.5 points per game ahead of Davis Mills's 11.4 with the Houston Texans. That kind of gap doesn't close on matchup alone.

The per-game difference of 8.5 points favors Trevor Lawrence, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Davis Mills threw for 915 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Trevor Lawrence posted 4007 yards and 29 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Davis Mills has his bye in Week 6, and Trevor Lawrence rests in Week 8. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Trevor Lawrence is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Davis Mills is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Trevor Lawrence (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Trevor Lawrence outscored Davis Mills by a projected 144 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Trevor Lawrence played 17 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means Trevor Lawrence contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Trevor Lawrence scored 38 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Trevor Lawrence added 359 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatMillsLawrence
PPG (Half-PPR)11.419.9
Games Played617
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)68338
Passing Yards9154,007
Passing TDs529
Pass Yds/Game152.5235.7
Rushing Yards60359
Rushing TDs19
Total TDs638
TDs/Game1.02.2
Age2726
Experience4 yrs4 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 6Week 8

Summary

19.9 PPG for Trevor Lawrence versus 11.4 for Davis Mills in 2025. The baseline favors Trevor Lawrence, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Davis Mills or Trevor Lawrence in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Trevor Lawrence has the edge at 19.9 PPG compared to Davis Mills's 11.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Davis Mills and Trevor Lawrence average in 2025?

Davis Mills averaged 11.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 6 games in 2025. Trevor Lawrence averaged 19.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 8.5 points per game.

When are Davis Mills and Trevor Lawrence's bye weeks in 2026?

Davis Mills (HOU) has a bye in Week 6, and Trevor Lawrence (JAX) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Davis Mills or Trevor Lawrence a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Trevor Lawrence outscored Davis Mills by 8.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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