Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Davis Mills vs Matthew Stafford

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Matthew Stafford is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Matthew Stafford outscored Davis Mills by 9.2 PPG in 2025 with 46 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Matthew Stafford is the clear pick. Davis Mills profiles as a matchup-dependent quarterback who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBHouston Texans#36

Davis Mills

PPG

11.4

Games

Pass Yds

915

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 6

QBLos Angeles Rams#3PPG LEADER

Matthew Stafford

PPG

20.6

Games

Pass Yds

4,707

Pass TDs

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Davis Mills

Matthew Stafford

Head to Head

11.4 PPG20.6 PPG

6 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Matthew Stafford: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #3 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Davis Mills is producing at 52% of elite pace and Matthew Stafford at 94%. That ranking gap means Matthew Stafford carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Davis Mills vs Matthew Stafford: Who Should You Start?

The numbers tell a clear story here. Matthew Stafford put up 20.6 fantasy points per game for the Los Angeles Rams in 2025, while Davis Mills managed 11.4 across 6 games with the Houston Texans. A 9.2-point weekly edge is substantial at the quarterback position.

That 9.2-point weekly advantage for Matthew Stafford is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Davis Mills threw for 915 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Matthew Stafford posted 4707 yards and 46 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Davis Mills sits Week 6 while Matthew Stafford is off Week 8. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Matthew Stafford is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Davis Mills is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Matthew Stafford (age 38) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year.

Did You Know?

•Matthew Stafford outscored Davis Mills by a projected 156 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Matthew Stafford played 17 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means Matthew Stafford contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Matthew Stafford scored 46 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.7 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Davis Mills is 11 years younger than Matthew Stafford (27 vs 38), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown▾

StatMillsStafford

PPG (Half-PPR)11.420.6

Games Played617

Total Fantasy Pts (est.)68350

Passing Yards9154,707

Passing TDs546

Pass Yds/Game152.5276.9

Rushing Yards601

Rushing TDs10

Total TDs646

TDs/Game1.02.7

Age2738

Experience4 yrs16 yrs

Bye WeekWeek 6Week 8

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Matthew Stafford at 20.6 PPG, 9.2 points per game above Davis Mills's 11.4. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Davis Mills or Matthew Stafford in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Matthew Stafford has the edge at 20.6 PPG compared to Davis Mills's 11.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Davis Mills and Matthew Stafford average in 2025?▾

Davis Mills averaged 11.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 6 games in 2025. Matthew Stafford averaged 20.6 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 9.2 points per game.

When are Davis Mills and Matthew Stafford's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Davis Mills (HOU) has a bye in Week 6, and Matthew Stafford (LAR) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Davis Mills or Matthew Stafford a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Matthew Stafford outscored Davis Mills by 9.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.