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Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Bo Nix vs Trevor Lawrence

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Trevor Lawrence is the better fantasy play this season.

Trevor Lawrence is the better play on a neutral week. 19.9 PPG with 4,366 yards gives a reliable baseline. Bo Nix at 17.9 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Trevor Lawrence higher, but do not fade Bo Nix entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBDenver Broncos#11
Bo Nix
PPG
17.9
Games
17
Pass Yds
3,931
Pass TDs
25
Rush Yds
356
Rush TDs
5
Bye
Week 12
QBJacksonville Jaguars#5PPG LEADER
Trevor Lawrence
PPG
19.9
Games
17
Pass Yds
4,007
Pass TDs
29
Rush Yds
359
Rush TDs
9
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Bo Nix
Trevor Lawrence

Head to Head

17.9 PPG19.9 PPG
17 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 12Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Bo Nix: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #11 at the position). Trevor Lawrence: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #5 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Bo Nix is producing at 81% of elite pace and Trevor Lawrence at 90%. That ranking gap means Trevor Lawrence carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Bo Nix vs Trevor Lawrence: Who Should You Start?

If you are choosing between Bo Nix and Trevor Lawrence for your lineup, you are not alone. Bo Nix finished the 2025 season at 17.9 PPG for the Denver Broncos (17 games), and Trevor Lawrence averaged 19.9 for the Jacksonville Jaguars (17 games).

That 2.0-point weekly advantage for Trevor Lawrence is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Bo Nix threw for 3931 yards and 25 touchdowns, while Trevor Lawrence posted 4007 yards and 29 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bo Nix has his bye in Week 12, and Trevor Lawrence rests in Week 8. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Bo Nix (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Trevor Lawrence (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Trevor Lawrence outscored Bo Nix by a projected 34 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Trevor Lawrence scored 38 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Trevor Lawrence added 359 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatNixLawrence
PPG (Half-PPR)17.919.9
Games Played1717
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)304338
Passing Yards3,9314,007
Passing TDs2529
Pass Yds/Game231.2235.7
Rushing Yards356359
Rushing TDs59
Total TDs3038
TDs/Game1.82.2
Age2626
Experience1 yrs4 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 12Week 8

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Trevor Lawrence at 19.9 PPG, 2.0 points per game above Bo Nix's 17.9. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Bo Nix or Trevor Lawrence in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Trevor Lawrence has the edge at 19.9 PPG compared to Bo Nix's 17.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Bo Nix and Trevor Lawrence average in 2025?

Bo Nix averaged 17.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Trevor Lawrence averaged 19.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 2.0 points per game.

When are Bo Nix and Trevor Lawrence's bye weeks in 2026?

Bo Nix (DEN) has a bye in Week 12, and Trevor Lawrence (JAX) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Bo Nix or Trevor Lawrence a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Trevor Lawrence outscored Bo Nix by 2.0 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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