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Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Bo Nix vs Josh Allen

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Josh Allen is the better fantasy play this season.

Josh Allen has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 4.9-PPG advantage is real (22.8 to 17.9), and Josh Allen's 39 touchdowns show scoring upside. Bo Nix is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBDenver Broncos#11
Bo Nix
PPG
17.9
Games
17
Pass Yds
3,931
Pass TDs
25
Rush Yds
356
Rush TDs
5
Bye
Week 12
QBBuffalo Bills#1PPG LEADER
Josh Allen
PPG
22.8
Games
16
Pass Yds
3,668
Pass TDs
25
Rush Yds
579
Rush TDs
14
Bye
Week 7

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Bo Nix
Josh Allen

Head to Head

17.9 PPG22.8 PPG
17 GP16 GP
Bye: Week 12Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Bo Nix: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #11 at the position). Josh Allen: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #1 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Bo Nix is producing at 81% of elite pace and Josh Allen at 104%. That ranking gap means Josh Allen carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Bo Nix vs Josh Allen: Who Should You Start?

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Bo Nix (Denver Broncos) finished the 2025 season averaging 17.9 fantasy points per game in 17 games. Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills) came in at 22.8 PPG over 16 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Josh Allen carries a 4.9-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Josh Allen offers meaningful rushing upside with 579 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Bo Nix (3931 passing yards, 25 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Bo Nix sits Week 12 while Josh Allen is off Week 7. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Josh Allen at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Bo Nix is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Bo Nix (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Josh Allen (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Josh Allen outscored Bo Nix by a projected 83 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Bo Nix played 17 games in 2025 compared to Josh Allen's 16. That durability gap means Bo Nix contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Josh Allen scored 39 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Josh Allen added 579 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatNixAllen
PPG (Half-PPR)17.922.8
Games Played1716
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)304365
Passing Yards3,9313,668
Passing TDs2525
Pass Yds/Game231.2229.3
Rushing Yards356579
Rushing TDs514
Total TDs3039
TDs/Game1.82.4
Age2629
Experience1 yrs7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 12Week 7

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Josh Allen holds the PPG edge with elite output at 22.8 points per game. Bo Nix averaged 17.9 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Bo Nix or Josh Allen in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Josh Allen has the edge at 22.8 PPG compared to Bo Nix's 17.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Bo Nix and Josh Allen average in 2025?

Bo Nix averaged 17.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Josh Allen averaged 22.8 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 4.9 points per game.

When are Bo Nix and Josh Allen's bye weeks in 2026?

Bo Nix (DEN) has a bye in Week 12, and Josh Allen (BUF) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Bo Nix or Josh Allen a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Josh Allen outscored Bo Nix by 4.9 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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