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Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Baker Mayfield vs Trevor Lawrence

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Trevor Lawrence is the better fantasy play this season.

Trevor Lawrence is the better play on a neutral week. 19.9 PPG with 4,366 yards gives a reliable baseline. Baker Mayfield at 16.0 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Trevor Lawrence higher, but do not fade Baker Mayfield entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBTampa Bay Buccaneers#19
Baker Mayfield
PPG
16.0
Games
17
Pass Yds
3,693
Pass TDs
26
Rush Yds
382
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 9
QBJacksonville Jaguars#5PPG LEADER
Trevor Lawrence
PPG
19.9
Games
17
Pass Yds
4,007
Pass TDs
29
Rush Yds
359
Rush TDs
9
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Baker Mayfield
Trevor Lawrence

Head to Head

16.0 PPG19.9 PPG
17 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 9Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Baker Mayfield: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #19 at the position). Trevor Lawrence: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #5 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Baker Mayfield is producing at 73% of elite pace and Trevor Lawrence at 90%. That ranking gap means Trevor Lawrence carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Baker Mayfield vs Trevor Lawrence: Who Should You Start?

If you are choosing between Baker Mayfield and Trevor Lawrence for your lineup, you are not alone. Baker Mayfield finished the 2025 season at 16.0 PPG for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (17 games), and Trevor Lawrence averaged 19.9 for the Jacksonville Jaguars (17 games).

That 3.9-point weekly advantage for Trevor Lawrence is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Baker Mayfield threw for 3693 yards and 26 touchdowns, while Trevor Lawrence posted 4007 yards and 29 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Baker Mayfield sits Week 9 while Trevor Lawrence is off Week 8. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Trevor Lawrence is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Baker Mayfield is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Baker Mayfield (age 31) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Trevor Lawrence (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Trevor Lawrence outscored Baker Mayfield by a projected 66 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Trevor Lawrence scored 38 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Baker Mayfield added 382 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
  • Trevor Lawrence is 5 years younger than Baker Mayfield (26 vs 31), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatMayfieldLawrence
PPG (Half-PPR)16.019.9
Games Played1717
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)272338
Passing Yards3,6934,007
Passing TDs2629
Pass Yds/Game217.2235.7
Rushing Yards382359
Rushing TDs19
Total TDs2738
TDs/Game1.62.2
Age3126
Experience7 yrs4 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 9Week 8

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Trevor Lawrence at 19.9 PPG, 3.9 points per game above Baker Mayfield's 16.0. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Baker Mayfield or Trevor Lawrence in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Trevor Lawrence has the edge at 19.9 PPG compared to Baker Mayfield's 16.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Baker Mayfield and Trevor Lawrence average in 2025?

Baker Mayfield averaged 16.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Trevor Lawrence averaged 19.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 3.9 points per game.

When are Baker Mayfield and Trevor Lawrence's bye weeks in 2026?

Baker Mayfield (TB) has a bye in Week 9, and Trevor Lawrence (JAX) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Baker Mayfield or Trevor Lawrence a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Trevor Lawrence outscored Baker Mayfield by 3.9 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.