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Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Baker Mayfield vs Josh Allen

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Josh Allen is the better fantasy play this season.

Josh Allen is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 22.8 PPG and 4,247 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Baker Mayfield (16.0 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Josh Allen as the starter and Baker Mayfield as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBTampa Bay Buccaneers#19
Baker Mayfield
PPG
16.0
Games
17
Pass Yds
3,693
Pass TDs
26
Rush Yds
382
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 9
QBBuffalo Bills#1PPG LEADER
Josh Allen
PPG
22.8
Games
16
Pass Yds
3,668
Pass TDs
25
Rush Yds
579
Rush TDs
14
Bye
Week 7

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Baker Mayfield
Josh Allen

Head to Head

16.0 PPG22.8 PPG
17 GP16 GP
Bye: Week 9Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Baker Mayfield: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #19 at the position). Josh Allen: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #1 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Baker Mayfield is producing at 73% of elite pace and Josh Allen at 104%. That ranking gap means Josh Allen carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Baker Mayfield vs Josh Allen: Who Should You Start?

The numbers tell a clear story here. Josh Allen put up 22.8 fantasy points per game for the Buffalo Bills in 2025, while Baker Mayfield managed 16.0 across 17 games with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. A 6.8-point weekly edge is substantial at the quarterback position.

A 6.8-PPG gap gives Josh Allen the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Josh Allen offers meaningful rushing upside with 579 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Baker Mayfield (3693 passing yards, 26 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Baker Mayfield sits Week 9 while Josh Allen is off Week 7. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Josh Allen at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Baker Mayfield is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Baker Mayfield (age 31) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Josh Allen (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Josh Allen outscored Baker Mayfield by a projected 116 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Baker Mayfield played 17 games in 2025 compared to Josh Allen's 16. That durability gap means Baker Mayfield contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Josh Allen scored 39 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Josh Allen added 579 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatMayfieldAllen
PPG (Half-PPR)16.022.8
Games Played1716
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)272365
Passing Yards3,6933,668
Passing TDs2625
Pass Yds/Game217.2229.3
Rushing Yards382579
Rushing TDs114
Total TDs2739
TDs/Game1.62.4
Age3129
Experience7 yrs7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 9Week 7

Summary

Josh Allen outscored Baker Mayfield by 6.8 PPG in 2025 (22.8 to 16.0). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Baker Mayfield or Josh Allen in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Josh Allen has the edge at 22.8 PPG compared to Baker Mayfield's 16.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Baker Mayfield and Josh Allen average in 2025?

Baker Mayfield averaged 16.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Josh Allen averaged 22.8 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 6.8 points per game.

When are Baker Mayfield and Josh Allen's bye weeks in 2026?

Baker Mayfield (TB) has a bye in Week 9, and Josh Allen (BUF) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Baker Mayfield or Josh Allen a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Josh Allen outscored Baker Mayfield by 6.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.