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Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Baker Mayfield vs Matthew Stafford

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Matthew Stafford is the better fantasy play this season.

Matthew Stafford is the better play on a neutral week. 20.6 PPG with 4,708 yards gives a reliable baseline. Baker Mayfield at 16.0 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Matthew Stafford higher, but do not fade Baker Mayfield entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBTampa Bay Buccaneers#19
Baker Mayfield
PPG
16.0
Games
17
Pass Yds
3,693
Pass TDs
26
Rush Yds
382
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 9
QBLos Angeles Rams#3PPG LEADER
Matthew Stafford
PPG
20.6
Games
17
Pass Yds
4,707
Pass TDs
46
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Baker Mayfield
Matthew Stafford

Head to Head

16.0 PPG20.6 PPG
17 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 9Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Baker Mayfield: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #19 at the position). Matthew Stafford: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #3 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Baker Mayfield is producing at 73% of elite pace and Matthew Stafford at 94%. That ranking gap means Matthew Stafford carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Baker Mayfield vs Matthew Stafford: Who Should You Start?

If you are choosing between Baker Mayfield and Matthew Stafford for your lineup, you are not alone. Baker Mayfield finished the 2025 season at 16.0 PPG for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (17 games), and Matthew Stafford averaged 20.6 for the Los Angeles Rams (17 games).

That 4.6-point weekly advantage for Matthew Stafford is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Baker Mayfield threw for 3693 yards and 26 touchdowns, while Matthew Stafford posted 4707 yards and 46 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Baker Mayfield has his bye in Week 9, and Matthew Stafford rests in Week 8. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Matthew Stafford is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Baker Mayfield is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Baker Mayfield (age 31) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Matthew Stafford (age 38) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year.

Did You Know?

  • Matthew Stafford outscored Baker Mayfield by a projected 78 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Matthew Stafford scored 46 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.7 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Baker Mayfield added 382 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
  • Baker Mayfield is 7 years younger than Matthew Stafford (31 vs 38), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatMayfieldStafford
PPG (Half-PPR)16.020.6
Games Played1717
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)272350
Passing Yards3,6934,707
Passing TDs2646
Pass Yds/Game217.2276.9
Rushing Yards3821
Rushing TDs10
Total TDs2746
TDs/Game1.62.7
Age3138
Experience7 yrs16 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 9Week 8

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Matthew Stafford at 20.6 PPG, 4.6 points per game above Baker Mayfield's 16.0. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Baker Mayfield or Matthew Stafford in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Matthew Stafford has the edge at 20.6 PPG compared to Baker Mayfield's 16.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Baker Mayfield and Matthew Stafford average in 2025?

Baker Mayfield averaged 16.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Matthew Stafford averaged 20.6 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 4.6 points per game.

When are Baker Mayfield and Matthew Stafford's bye weeks in 2026?

Baker Mayfield (TB) has a bye in Week 9, and Matthew Stafford (LAR) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Baker Mayfield or Matthew Stafford a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Matthew Stafford outscored Baker Mayfield by 4.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.