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Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Baker Mayfield vs Jalen Hurts

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Jalen Hurts is the better fantasy play this season.

Jalen Hurts has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 2.8-PPG advantage is real (18.8 to 16.0), and Jalen Hurts's 33 touchdowns show scoring upside. Baker Mayfield is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBTampa Bay Buccaneers#19
Baker Mayfield
PPG
16.0
Games
17
Pass Yds
3,693
Pass TDs
26
Rush Yds
382
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 9
QBPhiladelphia Eagles#7PPG LEADER
Jalen Hurts
PPG
18.8
Games
16
Pass Yds
3,224
Pass TDs
25
Rush Yds
421
Rush TDs
8
Bye
Week 9

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Baker Mayfield
Jalen Hurts

Head to Head

16.0 PPG18.8 PPG
17 GP16 GP
Bye: Week 9Bye: Week 9

Fantasy Tiers

Baker Mayfield: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #19 at the position). Jalen Hurts: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #7 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Baker Mayfield is producing at 73% of elite pace and Jalen Hurts at 85%. That ranking gap means Jalen Hurts carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Baker Mayfield vs Jalen Hurts: Who Should You Start?

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Baker Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) finished the 2025 season averaging 16.0 fantasy points per game in 17 games. Jalen Hurts (Philadelphia Eagles) came in at 18.8 PPG over 16 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Jalen Hurts carries a 2.8-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Jalen Hurts offers meaningful rushing upside with 421 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Baker Mayfield (3693 passing yards, 26 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 9 bye. That means you need a backup plan at quarterback for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Baker Mayfield (age 31) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Jalen Hurts (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Jalen Hurts outscored Baker Mayfield by a projected 48 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Baker Mayfield played 17 games in 2025 compared to Jalen Hurts's 16. That durability gap means Baker Mayfield contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Jalen Hurts scored 33 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.1 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Jalen Hurts added 421 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
  • Jalen Hurts is 4 years younger than Baker Mayfield (27 vs 31), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatMayfieldHurts
PPG (Half-PPR)16.018.8
Games Played1716
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)272301
Passing Yards3,6933,224
Passing TDs2625
Pass Yds/Game217.2201.5
Rushing Yards382421
Rushing TDs18
Total TDs2733
TDs/Game1.62.1
Age3127
Experience7 yrs5 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 9Week 9

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Jalen Hurts holds the PPG edge with strong output at 18.8 points per game. Baker Mayfield averaged 16.0 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Baker Mayfield or Jalen Hurts in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Jalen Hurts has the edge at 18.8 PPG compared to Baker Mayfield's 16.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Baker Mayfield and Jalen Hurts average in 2025?

Baker Mayfield averaged 16.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Jalen Hurts averaged 18.8 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 2.8 points per game.

Do Baker Mayfield and Jalen Hurts share a bye week?

Yes, both Baker Mayfield and Jalen Hurts share a Week 9 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at quarterback for that week.

Is Baker Mayfield or Jalen Hurts a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Jalen Hurts outscored Baker Mayfield by 2.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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