Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Aidan O'Connell vs Trevor Lawrence

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Trevor Lawrence is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Trevor Lawrence outscored Aidan O'Connell by 7.1 PPG in 2025 with 38 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Trevor Lawrence is the clear pick. Aidan O'Connell profiles as a matchup-dependent quarterback who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBLas Vegas Raiders#99

Aidan O'Connell

PPG

12.8

Games

Pass Yds

2,650

Pass TDs

Bye

Week 10

QBJacksonville Jaguars#5PPG LEADER

Trevor Lawrence

PPG

19.9

Games

Pass Yds

4,007

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

359

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Aidan O'Connell

Trevor Lawrence

Head to Head

12.8 PPG19.9 PPG

13 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Aidan O'Connell: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Trevor Lawrence: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #5 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aidan O'Connell is producing at 58% of elite pace and Trevor Lawrence at 90%. That ranking gap means Trevor Lawrence carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aidan O'Connell vs Trevor Lawrence: Who Should You Start?

The numbers tell a clear story here. Trevor Lawrence put up 19.9 fantasy points per game for the Jacksonville Jaguars in 2025, while Aidan O'Connell managed 12.8 across 13 games with the Las Vegas Raiders. A 7.1-point weekly edge is substantial at the quarterback position.

The per-game difference of 7.1 points favors Trevor Lawrence, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Aidan O'Connell threw for 2650 yards and 16 touchdowns, while Trevor Lawrence posted 4007 yards and 29 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Aidan O'Connell sits Week 10 while Trevor Lawrence is off Week 8. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Trevor Lawrence is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Aidan O'Connell is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Aidan O'Connell (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Trevor Lawrence (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Trevor Lawrence outscored Aidan O'Connell by a projected 121 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Trevor Lawrence played 17 games in 2025 compared to Aidan O'Connell's 13. That durability gap means Trevor Lawrence contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Trevor Lawrence scored 38 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Trevor Lawrence added 359 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown▾

StatO'ConnellLawrence

PPG (Half-PPR)12.819.9

Games Played1317

Total Fantasy Pts (est.)166338

Passing Yards2,6504,007

Passing TDs1629

Pass Yds/Game203.8235.7

Rushing Yards68359

Rushing TDs09

Total TDs1638

TDs/Game1.22.2

Age-26

Experience-4 yrs

Bye WeekWeek 10Week 8

Summary

19.9 PPG for Trevor Lawrence versus 12.8 for Aidan O'Connell in 2025. The baseline favors Trevor Lawrence, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aidan O'Connell or Trevor Lawrence in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Trevor Lawrence has the edge at 19.9 PPG compared to Aidan O'Connell's 12.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aidan O'Connell and Trevor Lawrence average in 2025?▾

Aidan O'Connell averaged 12.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 13 games in 2025. Trevor Lawrence averaged 19.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 7.1 points per game.

When are Aidan O'Connell and Trevor Lawrence's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Aidan O'Connell (LV) has a bye in Week 10, and Trevor Lawrence (JAX) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aidan O'Connell or Trevor Lawrence a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Trevor Lawrence outscored Aidan O'Connell by 7.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.