Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Aidan O'Connell vs Josh Allen

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Josh Allen is the better fantasy play this season.

Josh Allen is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 22.8 PPG and 4,247 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Aidan O'Connell (12.8 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Josh Allen as the starter and Aidan O'Connell as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBLas Vegas Raiders#99

Aidan O'Connell

PPG

12.8

Games

Pass Yds

2,650

Pass TDs

Bye

Week 10

QBBuffalo Bills#1PPG LEADER

Josh Allen

PPG

22.8

Games

Pass Yds

3,668

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

579

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 7

The Edge Chart

Aidan O'Connell

Josh Allen

Head to Head

12.8 PPG22.8 PPG

13 GP16 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Aidan O'Connell: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Josh Allen: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #1 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aidan O'Connell is producing at 58% of elite pace and Josh Allen at 104%. That ranking gap means Josh Allen carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aidan O'Connell vs Josh Allen: Who Should You Start?

There is a real production gap between these two quarterbacks. Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills) averaged 22.8 PPG over 16 games in 2025, outscoring Aidan O'Connell (Las Vegas Raiders, 12.8 PPG) by 10.0 points per week. That separation would need a significant matchup swing to overcome.

Josh Allen carries a 10.0-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Josh Allen offers meaningful rushing upside with 579 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Aidan O'Connell (2650 passing yards, 16 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

One scheduling note: Aidan O'Connell is off Week 10 and Josh Allen Week 7. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Josh Allen at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Aidan O'Connell is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Aidan O'Connell (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Josh Allen (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Josh Allen outscored Aidan O'Connell by a projected 170 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Josh Allen played 16 games in 2025 compared to Aidan O'Connell's 13. That durability gap means Josh Allen contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Josh Allen scored 39 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Josh Allen added 579 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown▾

StatO'ConnellAllen

PPG (Half-PPR)12.822.8

Games Played1316

Total Fantasy Pts (est.)166365

Passing Yards2,6503,668

Passing TDs1625

Pass Yds/Game203.8229.3

Rushing Yards68579

Rushing TDs014

Total TDs1639

TDs/Game1.22.4

Age-29

Experience-7 yrs

Bye WeekWeek 10Week 7

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Josh Allen holds the PPG edge with elite output at 22.8 points per game. Aidan O'Connell averaged 12.8 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aidan O'Connell or Josh Allen in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Josh Allen has the edge at 22.8 PPG compared to Aidan O'Connell's 12.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aidan O'Connell and Josh Allen average in 2025?▾

Aidan O'Connell averaged 12.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 13 games in 2025. Josh Allen averaged 22.8 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 10.0 points per game.

When are Aidan O'Connell and Josh Allen's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Aidan O'Connell (LV) has a bye in Week 10, and Josh Allen (BUF) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aidan O'Connell or Josh Allen a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Josh Allen outscored Aidan O'Connell by 10.0 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.