Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Aidan O'Connell vs Matthew Stafford

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Matthew Stafford is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Matthew Stafford outscored Aidan O'Connell by 7.8 PPG in 2025 with 46 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Matthew Stafford is the clear pick. Aidan O'Connell profiles as a matchup-dependent quarterback who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBLas Vegas Raiders#99

Aidan O'Connell

PPG

12.8

Games

Pass Yds

2,650

Pass TDs

Bye

Week 10

QBLos Angeles Rams#3PPG LEADER

Matthew Stafford

PPG

20.6

Games

Pass Yds

4,707

Pass TDs

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Aidan O'Connell

Matthew Stafford

Head to Head

12.8 PPG20.6 PPG

13 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Aidan O'Connell: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Matthew Stafford: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #3 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aidan O'Connell is producing at 58% of elite pace and Matthew Stafford at 94%. That ranking gap means Matthew Stafford carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aidan O'Connell vs Matthew Stafford: Who Should You Start?

The numbers tell a clear story here. Matthew Stafford put up 20.6 fantasy points per game for the Los Angeles Rams in 2025, while Aidan O'Connell managed 12.8 across 13 games with the Las Vegas Raiders. A 7.8-point weekly edge is substantial at the quarterback position.

The per-game difference of 7.8 points favors Matthew Stafford, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Aidan O'Connell threw for 2650 yards and 16 touchdowns, while Matthew Stafford posted 4707 yards and 46 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Aidan O'Connell sits Week 10 while Matthew Stafford is off Week 8. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Matthew Stafford is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Aidan O'Connell is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Aidan O'Connell (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Matthew Stafford (age 38) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year.

Did You Know?

•Matthew Stafford outscored Aidan O'Connell by a projected 133 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Matthew Stafford played 17 games in 2025 compared to Aidan O'Connell's 13. That durability gap means Matthew Stafford contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Matthew Stafford scored 46 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.7 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown▾

StatO'ConnellStafford

PPG (Half-PPR)12.820.6

Games Played1317

Total Fantasy Pts (est.)166350

Passing Yards2,6504,707

Passing TDs1646

Pass Yds/Game203.8276.9

Rushing Yards681

Rushing TDs00

Total TDs1646

TDs/Game1.22.7

Age-38

Experience-16 yrs

Bye WeekWeek 10Week 8

Summary

20.6 PPG for Matthew Stafford versus 12.8 for Aidan O'Connell in 2025. The baseline favors Matthew Stafford, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aidan O'Connell or Matthew Stafford in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Matthew Stafford has the edge at 20.6 PPG compared to Aidan O'Connell's 12.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aidan O'Connell and Matthew Stafford average in 2025?▾

Aidan O'Connell averaged 12.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 13 games in 2025. Matthew Stafford averaged 20.6 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 7.8 points per game.

When are Aidan O'Connell and Matthew Stafford's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Aidan O'Connell (LV) has a bye in Week 10, and Matthew Stafford (LAR) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aidan O'Connell or Matthew Stafford a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Matthew Stafford outscored Aidan O'Connell by 7.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.