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Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Aaron Rodgers vs Matthew Stafford

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Matthew Stafford is the better fantasy play this season.

Matthew Stafford is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 20.6 PPG and 4,708 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Aaron Rodgers (14.2 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Matthew Stafford as the starter and Aaron Rodgers as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBPittsburgh Steelers#25
Aaron Rodgers
PPG
14.2
Games
16
Pass Yds
3,322
Pass TDs
24
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 5
QBLos Angeles Rams#3PPG LEADER
Matthew Stafford
PPG
20.6
Games
17
Pass Yds
4,707
Pass TDs
46
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Aaron Rodgers
Matthew Stafford

Head to Head

14.2 PPG20.6 PPG
16 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 5Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Aaron Rodgers: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #25 at the position). Matthew Stafford: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #3 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aaron Rodgers is producing at 65% of elite pace and Matthew Stafford at 94%. That ranking gap means Matthew Stafford carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aaron Rodgers vs Matthew Stafford: Who Should You Start?

Matthew Stafford and Aaron Rodgers are at different tiers heading into 2026. The Los Angeles Rams quarterback averaged 20.6 PPG in 2025, a full 6.4 points per game ahead of Aaron Rodgers's 14.2 with the Pittsburgh Steelers. That kind of gap doesn't close on matchup alone.

Matthew Stafford carries a 6.4-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Aaron Rodgers threw for 3322 yards and 24 touchdowns, while Matthew Stafford posted 4707 yards and 46 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Aaron Rodgers has his bye in Week 5, and Matthew Stafford rests in Week 8. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Matthew Stafford at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Aaron Rodgers is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Aaron Rodgers (age 42) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Matthew Stafford (age 38) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year.

Did You Know?

  • Matthew Stafford outscored Aaron Rodgers by a projected 109 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Matthew Stafford played 17 games in 2025 compared to Aaron Rodgers's 16. That durability gap means Matthew Stafford contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Matthew Stafford scored 46 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.7 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Matthew Stafford is 4 years younger than Aaron Rodgers (38 vs 42), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatRodgersStafford
PPG (Half-PPR)14.220.6
Games Played1617
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)227350
Passing Yards3,3224,707
Passing TDs2446
Pass Yds/Game207.6276.9
Rushing Yards611
Rushing TDs10
Total TDs2546
TDs/Game1.62.7
Age4238
Experience20 yrs16 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 5Week 8

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Matthew Stafford holds the PPG edge with strong output at 20.6 points per game. Aaron Rodgers averaged 14.2 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aaron Rodgers or Matthew Stafford in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Matthew Stafford has the edge at 20.6 PPG compared to Aaron Rodgers's 14.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aaron Rodgers and Matthew Stafford average in 2025?

Aaron Rodgers averaged 14.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Matthew Stafford averaged 20.6 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 6.4 points per game.

When are Aaron Rodgers and Matthew Stafford's bye weeks in 2026?

Aaron Rodgers (PIT) has a bye in Week 5, and Matthew Stafford (LAR) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aaron Rodgers or Matthew Stafford a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Matthew Stafford outscored Aaron Rodgers by 6.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.