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Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Aaron Rodgers vs Trevor Lawrence

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Trevor Lawrence is the better fantasy play this season.

Trevor Lawrence is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 19.9 PPG and 4,366 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Aaron Rodgers (14.2 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Trevor Lawrence as the starter and Aaron Rodgers as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBPittsburgh Steelers#25
Aaron Rodgers
PPG
14.2
Games
16
Pass Yds
3,322
Pass TDs
24
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 5
QBJacksonville Jaguars#5PPG LEADER
Trevor Lawrence
PPG
19.9
Games
17
Pass Yds
4,007
Pass TDs
29
Rush Yds
359
Rush TDs
9
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Aaron Rodgers
Trevor Lawrence

Head to Head

14.2 PPG19.9 PPG
16 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 5Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Aaron Rodgers: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #25 at the position). Trevor Lawrence: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #5 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aaron Rodgers is producing at 65% of elite pace and Trevor Lawrence at 90%. That ranking gap means Trevor Lawrence carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aaron Rodgers vs Trevor Lawrence: Who Should You Start?

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Aaron Rodgers (Pittsburgh Steelers) finished the 2025 season averaging 14.2 fantasy points per game in 16 games. Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) came in at 19.9 PPG over 17 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Trevor Lawrence carries a 5.7-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Aaron Rodgers threw for 3322 yards and 24 touchdowns, while Trevor Lawrence posted 4007 yards and 29 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Aaron Rodgers has his bye in Week 5, and Trevor Lawrence rests in Week 8. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Trevor Lawrence at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Aaron Rodgers is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Aaron Rodgers (age 42) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Trevor Lawrence (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Trevor Lawrence outscored Aaron Rodgers by a projected 97 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Trevor Lawrence played 17 games in 2025 compared to Aaron Rodgers's 16. That durability gap means Trevor Lawrence contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Trevor Lawrence scored 38 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Trevor Lawrence added 359 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
  • Trevor Lawrence is 16 years younger than Aaron Rodgers (26 vs 42), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatRodgersLawrence
PPG (Half-PPR)14.219.9
Games Played1617
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)227338
Passing Yards3,3224,007
Passing TDs2429
Pass Yds/Game207.6235.7
Rushing Yards61359
Rushing TDs19
Total TDs2538
TDs/Game1.62.2
Age4226
Experience20 yrs4 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 5Week 8

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Trevor Lawrence holds the PPG edge with strong output at 19.9 points per game. Aaron Rodgers averaged 14.2 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aaron Rodgers or Trevor Lawrence in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Trevor Lawrence has the edge at 19.9 PPG compared to Aaron Rodgers's 14.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aaron Rodgers and Trevor Lawrence average in 2025?

Aaron Rodgers averaged 14.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Trevor Lawrence averaged 19.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 5.7 points per game.

When are Aaron Rodgers and Trevor Lawrence's bye weeks in 2026?

Aaron Rodgers (PIT) has a bye in Week 5, and Trevor Lawrence (JAX) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aaron Rodgers or Trevor Lawrence a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Trevor Lawrence outscored Aaron Rodgers by 5.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.