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Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Aaron Rodgers vs Patrick Mahomes

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Patrick Mahomes is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Patrick Mahomes outscored Aaron Rodgers by 6.2 PPG in 2025 with 27 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Patrick Mahomes is the clear pick. Aaron Rodgers profiles as a matchup-dependent quarterback who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBPittsburgh Steelers#25
Aaron Rodgers
PPG
14.2
Games
16
Pass Yds
3,322
Pass TDs
24
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 5
QBKansas City Chiefs#4PPG LEADER
Patrick Mahomes
PPG
20.4
Games
14
Pass Yds
3,587
Pass TDs
22
Rush Yds
422
Rush TDs
5
Bye
Week 10

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Aaron Rodgers
Patrick Mahomes

Head to Head

14.2 PPG20.4 PPG
16 GP14 GP
Bye: Week 5Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Aaron Rodgers: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #25 at the position). Patrick Mahomes: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #4 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aaron Rodgers is producing at 65% of elite pace and Patrick Mahomes at 93%. That ranking gap means Patrick Mahomes carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aaron Rodgers vs Patrick Mahomes: Who Should You Start?

Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers are at different tiers heading into 2026. The Kansas City Chiefs quarterback averaged 20.4 PPG in 2025, a full 6.2 points per game ahead of Aaron Rodgers's 14.2 with the Pittsburgh Steelers. That kind of gap doesn't close on matchup alone.

That 6.2-point weekly advantage for Patrick Mahomes is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Patrick Mahomes offers meaningful rushing upside with 422 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Aaron Rodgers (3322 passing yards, 24 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

Aaron Rodgers has his bye in Week 5, and Patrick Mahomes rests in Week 10. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Patrick Mahomes is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Aaron Rodgers is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Aaron Rodgers (age 42) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Patrick Mahomes (age 30) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Patrick Mahomes outscored Aaron Rodgers by a projected 105 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Aaron Rodgers played 16 games in 2025 compared to Patrick Mahomes's 14. That durability gap means Aaron Rodgers contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Patrick Mahomes scored 27 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.9 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Patrick Mahomes added 422 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
  • Patrick Mahomes is 12 years younger than Aaron Rodgers (30 vs 42), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatRodgersMahomes
PPG (Half-PPR)14.220.4
Games Played1614
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)227286
Passing Yards3,3223,587
Passing TDs2422
Pass Yds/Game207.6256.2
Rushing Yards61422
Rushing TDs15
Total TDs2527
TDs/Game1.61.9
Age4230
Experience20 yrs8 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 5Week 10

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Patrick Mahomes at 20.4 PPG, 6.2 points per game above Aaron Rodgers's 14.2. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aaron Rodgers or Patrick Mahomes in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Patrick Mahomes has the edge at 20.4 PPG compared to Aaron Rodgers's 14.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes average in 2025?

Aaron Rodgers averaged 14.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Patrick Mahomes averaged 20.4 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 6.2 points per game.

When are Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes's bye weeks in 2026?

Aaron Rodgers (PIT) has a bye in Week 5, and Patrick Mahomes (KC) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aaron Rodgers or Patrick Mahomes a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Patrick Mahomes outscored Aaron Rodgers by 6.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.