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Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Marcus Mariota vs Trevor Lawrence

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Trevor Lawrence is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Trevor Lawrence outscored Marcus Mariota by 7.3 PPG in 2025 with 38 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Trevor Lawrence is the clear pick. Marcus Mariota profiles as a matchup-dependent quarterback who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBWashington Commanders#31
Marcus Mariota
PPG
12.6
Games
10
Pass Yds
1,695
Pass TDs
10
Rush Yds
297
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 12
QBJacksonville Jaguars#5PPG LEADER
Trevor Lawrence
PPG
19.9
Games
17
Pass Yds
4,007
Pass TDs
29
Rush Yds
359
Rush TDs
9
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Marcus Mariota
Trevor Lawrence

Head to Head

12.6 PPG19.9 PPG
10 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 12Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Marcus Mariota: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #31 at the position). Trevor Lawrence: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #5 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Marcus Mariota is producing at 57% of elite pace and Trevor Lawrence at 90%. That ranking gap means Trevor Lawrence carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Marcus Mariota vs Trevor Lawrence: Who Should You Start?

The numbers tell a clear story here. Trevor Lawrence put up 19.9 fantasy points per game for the Jacksonville Jaguars in 2025, while Marcus Mariota managed 12.6 across 10 games with the Washington Commanders. A 7.3-point weekly edge is substantial at the quarterback position.

The per-game difference of 7.3 points favors Trevor Lawrence, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Marcus Mariota threw for 1695 yards and 10 touchdowns, while Trevor Lawrence posted 4007 yards and 29 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Marcus Mariota sits Week 12 while Trevor Lawrence is off Week 8. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Trevor Lawrence is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Marcus Mariota is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Marcus Mariota (age 32) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Trevor Lawrence (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Trevor Lawrence outscored Marcus Mariota by a projected 124 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Trevor Lawrence played 17 games in 2025 compared to Marcus Mariota's 10. That durability gap means Trevor Lawrence contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Trevor Lawrence scored 38 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Trevor Lawrence added 359 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
  • Trevor Lawrence is 6 years younger than Marcus Mariota (26 vs 32), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatMariotaLawrence
PPG (Half-PPR)12.619.9
Games Played1017
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)126338
Passing Yards1,6954,007
Passing TDs1029
Pass Yds/Game169.5235.7
Rushing Yards297359
Rushing TDs19
Total TDs1138
TDs/Game1.12.2
Age3226
Experience10 yrs4 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 12Week 8

Summary

19.9 PPG for Trevor Lawrence versus 12.6 for Marcus Mariota in 2025. The baseline favors Trevor Lawrence, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Marcus Mariota or Trevor Lawrence in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Trevor Lawrence has the edge at 19.9 PPG compared to Marcus Mariota's 12.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Marcus Mariota and Trevor Lawrence average in 2025?

Marcus Mariota averaged 12.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 10 games in 2025. Trevor Lawrence averaged 19.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 7.3 points per game.

When are Marcus Mariota and Trevor Lawrence's bye weeks in 2026?

Marcus Mariota (WAS) has a bye in Week 12, and Trevor Lawrence (JAX) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Marcus Mariota or Trevor Lawrence a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Trevor Lawrence outscored Marcus Mariota by 7.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.