Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Kyler Murray vs Trevor Lawrence

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Trevor Lawrence is the better fantasy play this season.

Trevor Lawrence has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 4.3-PPG advantage is real (19.9 to 15.6), and Trevor Lawrence's 38 touchdowns show scoring upside. Kyler Murray is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

Want this verdict updated live on Sunday?

The DraftCall app pushes alerts the moment Kyler Murray or Trevor Lawrence's status changes. Free.

Get the App

QBArizona Cardinals#22

Kyler Murray

PPG

15.6

Games

Pass Yds

962

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

173

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 8

QBJacksonville Jaguars#5PPG LEADER

Trevor Lawrence

PPG

19.9

Games

Pass Yds

4,007

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

359

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Kyler Murray

Trevor Lawrence

Head to Head

15.6 PPG19.9 PPG

5 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Kyler Murray: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #22 at the position). Trevor Lawrence: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #5 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Kyler Murray is producing at 71% of elite pace and Trevor Lawrence at 90%. That ranking gap means Trevor Lawrence carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Kyler Murray vs Trevor Lawrence: Who Should You Start?

Kyler Murray and Trevor Lawrence are both viable fantasy quarterbacks heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Kyler Murray averaged 15.6 PPG across 5 games with the Arizona Cardinals, while Trevor Lawrence posted 19.9 PPG in 17 appearances for the Jacksonville Jaguars.

A 4.3-PPG gap gives Trevor Lawrence the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Kyler Murray threw for 962 yards and 6 touchdowns, while Trevor Lawrence posted 4007 yards and 29 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 8 bye. That means you need a backup plan at quarterback for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Trevor Lawrence at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Kyler Murray is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Kyler Murray (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Trevor Lawrence (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Trevor Lawrence outscored Kyler Murray by a projected 73 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Trevor Lawrence played 17 games in 2025 compared to Kyler Murray's 5. That durability gap means Trevor Lawrence contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Trevor Lawrence scored 38 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Trevor Lawrence added 359 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
•Both players share a Week 8 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown▾

StatMurrayLawrence

PPG (Half-PPR)15.619.9

Games Played517

Total Fantasy Pts (est.)78338

Passing Yards9624,007

Passing TDs629

Pass Yds/Game192.4235.7

Rushing Yards173359

Rushing TDs19

Total TDs738

TDs/Game1.42.2

Age2826

Experience6 yrs4 yrs

Bye WeekWeek 8Week 8

Summary

Trevor Lawrence outscored Kyler Murray by 4.3 PPG in 2025 (19.9 to 15.6). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

Website vs App

Get the AI verdict on Kyler Murray vs Trevor Lawrence

DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality, recent trends, injury impact, and game script to give you a clear start/sit recommendation.

See everything in the app →

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Kyler Murray or Trevor Lawrence in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Trevor Lawrence has the edge at 19.9 PPG compared to Kyler Murray's 15.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Kyler Murray and Trevor Lawrence average in 2025?▾

Kyler Murray averaged 15.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 5 games in 2025. Trevor Lawrence averaged 19.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 4.3 points per game.

Do Kyler Murray and Trevor Lawrence share a bye week?▾

Yes, both Kyler Murray and Trevor Lawrence share a Week 8 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at quarterback for that week.

Is Kyler Murray or Trevor Lawrence a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Trevor Lawrence outscored Kyler Murray by 4.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.