Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Kyler Murray vs Patrick Mahomes

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Patrick Mahomes is the better fantasy play this season.

Patrick Mahomes is the better play on a neutral week. 20.4 PPG with 3,999 yards gives a reliable baseline. Kyler Murray at 15.6 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Patrick Mahomes higher, but do not fade Kyler Murray entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBArizona Cardinals#22

Kyler Murray

PPG

15.6

Games

Pass Yds

962

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

173

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 8

QBKansas City Chiefs#4PPG LEADER

Patrick Mahomes

PPG

20.4

Games

Pass Yds

3,587

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

422

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

The Edge Chart

Kyler Murray

Patrick Mahomes

Head to Head

15.6 PPG20.4 PPG

5 GP14 GP

Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Kyler Murray: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #22 at the position). Patrick Mahomes: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #4 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Kyler Murray is producing at 71% of elite pace and Patrick Mahomes at 93%. That ranking gap means Patrick Mahomes carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Kyler Murray vs Patrick Mahomes: Who Should You Start?

If you are choosing between Kyler Murray and Patrick Mahomes for your lineup, you are not alone. Kyler Murray finished the 2025 season at 15.6 PPG for the Arizona Cardinals (5 games), and Patrick Mahomes averaged 20.4 for the Kansas City Chiefs (14 games).

That 4.8-point weekly advantage for Patrick Mahomes is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Patrick Mahomes offers meaningful rushing upside with 422 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Kyler Murray (962 passing yards, 6 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Kyler Murray sits Week 8 while Patrick Mahomes is off Week 10. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Patrick Mahomes is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Kyler Murray is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Kyler Murray (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Patrick Mahomes (age 30) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Patrick Mahomes outscored Kyler Murray by a projected 82 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Patrick Mahomes played 14 games in 2025 compared to Kyler Murray's 5. That durability gap means Patrick Mahomes contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Patrick Mahomes scored 27 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.9 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Patrick Mahomes added 422 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown▾

StatMurrayMahomes

PPG (Half-PPR)15.620.4

Games Played514

Total Fantasy Pts (est.)78286

Passing Yards9623,587

Passing TDs622

Pass Yds/Game192.4256.2

Rushing Yards173422

Rushing TDs15

Total TDs727

TDs/Game1.41.9

Age2830

Experience6 yrs8 yrs

Bye WeekWeek 8Week 10

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Patrick Mahomes at 20.4 PPG, 4.8 points per game above Kyler Murray's 15.6. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Kyler Murray or Patrick Mahomes in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Patrick Mahomes has the edge at 20.4 PPG compared to Kyler Murray's 15.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Kyler Murray and Patrick Mahomes average in 2025?▾

Kyler Murray averaged 15.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 5 games in 2025. Patrick Mahomes averaged 20.4 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 4.8 points per game.

When are Kyler Murray and Patrick Mahomes's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Kyler Murray (ARI) has a bye in Week 8, and Patrick Mahomes (KC) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Kyler Murray or Patrick Mahomes a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Patrick Mahomes outscored Kyler Murray by 4.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.