Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Josh Allen vs Tyler Shough

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Josh Allen is the better fantasy play this season.

Josh Allen is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 22.8 PPG and 4,247 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Tyler Shough (14.4 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Josh Allen as the starter and Tyler Shough as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBBuffalo Bills#1PPG LEADER

Josh Allen

PPG

22.8

Games

Pass Yds

3,668

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

579

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 7

QBNew Orleans Saints#24

Tyler Shough

PPG

14.4

Games

Pass Yds

2,384

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

186

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 11

The Edge Chart

Josh Allen

Tyler Shough

Head to Head

22.8 PPG14.4 PPG

16 GP11 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 11

Fantasy Tiers

Josh Allen: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #1 at the position). Tyler Shough: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #24 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Josh Allen is producing at 104% of elite pace and Tyler Shough at 65%. That ranking gap means Josh Allen carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Josh Allen vs Tyler Shough: Who Should You Start?

The numbers tell a clear story here. Josh Allen put up 22.8 fantasy points per game for the Buffalo Bills in 2025, while Tyler Shough managed 14.4 across 11 games with the New Orleans Saints. A 8.4-point weekly edge is substantial at the quarterback position.

A 8.4-PPG gap gives Josh Allen the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Josh Allen offers meaningful rushing upside with 579 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Tyler Shough (2384 passing yards, 10 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Josh Allen sits Week 7 while Tyler Shough is off Week 11. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Josh Allen at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Tyler Shough is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Josh Allen (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Tyler Shough (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Josh Allen outscored Tyler Shough by a projected 143 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Josh Allen played 16 games in 2025 compared to Tyler Shough's 11. That durability gap means Josh Allen contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Josh Allen scored 39 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Josh Allen added 579 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown▾

StatAllenShough

PPG (Half-PPR)22.814.4

Games Played1611

Total Fantasy Pts (est.)365158

Passing Yards3,6682,384

Passing TDs2510

Pass Yds/Game229.3216.7

Rushing Yards579186

Rushing TDs143

Total TDs3913

TDs/Game2.41.2

Age2926

Experience7 yrs-

Bye WeekWeek 7Week 11

Summary

Josh Allen outscored Tyler Shough by 8.4 PPG in 2025 (22.8 to 14.4). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Josh Allen or Tyler Shough in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Josh Allen has the edge at 22.8 PPG compared to Tyler Shough's 14.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Josh Allen and Tyler Shough average in 2025?▾

Josh Allen averaged 22.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Tyler Shough averaged 14.4 PPG over 11 games. That is a difference of 8.4 points per game.

When are Josh Allen and Tyler Shough's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Josh Allen (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Tyler Shough (NO) has a bye in Week 11. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Josh Allen or Tyler Shough a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Josh Allen outscored Tyler Shough by 8.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.