DraftCall
DraftCallFantasy Football

Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Josh Allen vs Tua Tagovailoa

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Josh Allen is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Josh Allen outscored Tua Tagovailoa by 11.3 PPG in 2025 with 39 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Josh Allen is the clear pick. Tua Tagovailoa profiles as a matchup-dependent quarterback who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

Want this verdict updated live on Sunday?

The DraftCall app pushes alerts the moment Josh Allen or Tua Tagovailoa's status changes. Free.

Get the App
QBBuffalo Bills#1PPG LEADER
Josh Allen
PPG
22.8
Games
16
Pass Yds
3,668
Pass TDs
25
Rush Yds
579
Rush TDs
14
Bye
Week 7
QBMiami Dolphins#35
Tua Tagovailoa
PPG
11.5
Games
14
Pass Yds
2,660
Pass TDs
20
Bye
Week 12

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Josh Allen
Tua Tagovailoa

Head to Head

22.8 PPG11.5 PPG
16 GP14 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 12

Fantasy Tiers

Josh Allen: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #1 at the position). Tua Tagovailoa: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #35 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Josh Allen is producing at 104% of elite pace and Tua Tagovailoa at 52%. That ranking gap means Josh Allen carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Josh Allen vs Tua Tagovailoa: Who Should You Start?

Josh Allen and Tua Tagovailoa are at different tiers heading into 2026. The Buffalo Bills quarterback averaged 22.8 PPG in 2025, a full 11.3 points per game ahead of Tua Tagovailoa's 11.5 with the Miami Dolphins. That kind of gap doesn't close on matchup alone.

That 11.3-point weekly advantage for Josh Allen is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Josh Allen offers meaningful rushing upside with 579 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Tua Tagovailoa (2660 passing yards, 20 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

Josh Allen has his bye in Week 7, and Tua Tagovailoa rests in Week 12. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Josh Allen is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Tua Tagovailoa is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Josh Allen (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Tua Tagovailoa (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Josh Allen outscored Tua Tagovailoa by a projected 192 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Josh Allen played 16 games in 2025 compared to Tua Tagovailoa's 14. That durability gap means Josh Allen contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Josh Allen scored 39 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Josh Allen added 579 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatAllenTagovailoa
PPG (Half-PPR)22.811.5
Games Played1614
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)365161
Passing Yards3,6682,660
Passing TDs2520
Pass Yds/Game229.3190.0
Rushing Yards57943
Rushing TDs140
Total TDs3920
TDs/Game2.41.4
Age2928
Experience7 yrs5 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 12

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Josh Allen at 22.8 PPG, 11.3 points per game above Tua Tagovailoa's 11.5. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

DraftCall app on iPhone

Website vs App

Get the AI verdict on Josh Allen vs Tua Tagovailoa

DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality, recent trends, injury impact, and game script to give you a clear start/sit recommendation.

See everything in the app →

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Josh Allen or Tua Tagovailoa in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Josh Allen has the edge at 22.8 PPG compared to Tua Tagovailoa's 11.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Josh Allen and Tua Tagovailoa average in 2025?

Josh Allen averaged 22.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Tua Tagovailoa averaged 11.5 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 11.3 points per game.

When are Josh Allen and Tua Tagovailoa's bye weeks in 2026?

Josh Allen (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) has a bye in Week 12. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Josh Allen or Tua Tagovailoa a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Josh Allen outscored Tua Tagovailoa by 11.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

Fantasy Managers Also Compared

Similar matchups other managers are researching right now.