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Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Josh Allen vs Trevor Lawrence

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Josh Allen is the better fantasy play this season.

Josh Allen is the better play on a neutral week. 22.8 PPG with 4,247 yards gives a reliable baseline. Trevor Lawrence at 19.9 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Josh Allen higher, but do not fade Trevor Lawrence entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBBuffalo Bills#1PPG LEADER
Josh Allen
PPG
22.8
Games
16
Pass Yds
3,668
Pass TDs
25
Rush Yds
579
Rush TDs
14
Bye
Week 7
QBJacksonville Jaguars#5
Trevor Lawrence
PPG
19.9
Games
17
Pass Yds
4,007
Pass TDs
29
Rush Yds
359
Rush TDs
9
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Josh Allen
Trevor Lawrence

Head to Head

22.8 PPG19.9 PPG
16 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Josh Allen: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #1 at the position). Trevor Lawrence: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #5 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Josh Allen is producing at 104% of elite pace and Trevor Lawrence at 90%. That ranking gap means Josh Allen carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Josh Allen vs Trevor Lawrence: Who Should You Start?

If you are choosing between Josh Allen and Trevor Lawrence for your lineup, you are not alone. Josh Allen finished the 2025 season at 22.8 PPG for the Buffalo Bills (16 games), and Trevor Lawrence averaged 19.9 for the Jacksonville Jaguars (17 games).

That 2.9-point weekly advantage for Josh Allen is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Josh Allen offers meaningful rushing upside with 579 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Trevor Lawrence (4007 passing yards, 29 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Josh Allen sits Week 7 while Trevor Lawrence is off Week 8. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Josh Allen (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Trevor Lawrence (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Josh Allen outscored Trevor Lawrence by a projected 49 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Trevor Lawrence played 17 games in 2025 compared to Josh Allen's 16. That durability gap means Trevor Lawrence contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Josh Allen scored 39 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Josh Allen added 579 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatAllenLawrence
PPG (Half-PPR)22.819.9
Games Played1617
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)365338
Passing Yards3,6684,007
Passing TDs2529
Pass Yds/Game229.3235.7
Rushing Yards579359
Rushing TDs149
Total TDs3938
TDs/Game2.42.2
Age2926
Experience7 yrs4 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 8

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Josh Allen at 22.8 PPG, 2.9 points per game above Trevor Lawrence's 19.9. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Josh Allen or Trevor Lawrence in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Josh Allen has the edge at 22.8 PPG compared to Trevor Lawrence's 19.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Josh Allen and Trevor Lawrence average in 2025?

Josh Allen averaged 22.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Trevor Lawrence averaged 19.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 2.9 points per game.

When are Josh Allen and Trevor Lawrence's bye weeks in 2026?

Josh Allen (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Trevor Lawrence (JAX) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Josh Allen or Trevor Lawrence a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Josh Allen outscored Trevor Lawrence by 2.9 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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