Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Josh Allen vs Michael Penix Jr.

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Josh Allen is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Josh Allen outscored Michael Penix Jr. by 9.4 PPG in 2025 with 39 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Josh Allen is the clear pick. Michael Penix Jr. profiles as a matchup-dependent quarterback who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBBuffalo Bills#1PPG LEADER

Josh Allen

PPG

22.8

Games

Pass Yds

3,668

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

579

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 7

QBAtlanta Falcons#29

Michael Penix Jr.

PPG

13.4

Games

Pass Yds

1,982

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 5

The Edge Chart

Josh Allen

Michael Penix Jr.

Head to Head

22.8 PPG13.4 PPG

16 GP9 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 5

Fantasy Tiers

Josh Allen: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #1 at the position). Michael Penix Jr.: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #29 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Josh Allen is producing at 104% of elite pace and Michael Penix Jr. at 61%. That ranking gap means Josh Allen carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Josh Allen vs Michael Penix Jr.: Who Should You Start?

There is a real production gap between these two quarterbacks. Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills) averaged 22.8 PPG over 16 games in 2025, outscoring Michael Penix Jr. (Atlanta Falcons, 13.4 PPG) by 9.4 points per week. That separation would need a significant matchup swing to overcome.

The per-game difference of 9.4 points favors Josh Allen, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Josh Allen offers meaningful rushing upside with 579 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Michael Penix Jr. (1982 passing yards, 9 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

One scheduling note: Josh Allen is off Week 7 and Michael Penix Jr. Week 5. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Josh Allen is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Michael Penix Jr. is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Josh Allen (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Michael Penix Jr. (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Josh Allen outscored Michael Penix Jr. by a projected 160 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Josh Allen played 16 games in 2025 compared to Michael Penix Jr.'s 9. That durability gap means Josh Allen contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Josh Allen scored 39 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Josh Allen added 579 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown▾

StatAllenJr.

PPG (Half-PPR)22.813.4

Games Played169

Total Fantasy Pts (est.)365121

Passing Yards3,6681,982

Passing TDs259

Pass Yds/Game229.3220.2

Rushing Yards57970

Rushing TDs141

Total TDs3910

TDs/Game2.41.1

Age2926

Experience7 yrs1 yrs

Bye WeekWeek 7Week 5

Summary

22.8 PPG for Josh Allen versus 13.4 for Michael Penix Jr. in 2025. The baseline favors Josh Allen, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Josh Allen or Michael Penix Jr. in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Josh Allen has the edge at 22.8 PPG compared to Michael Penix Jr.'s 13.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Josh Allen and Michael Penix Jr. average in 2025?▾

Josh Allen averaged 22.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Michael Penix Jr. averaged 13.4 PPG over 9 games. That is a difference of 9.4 points per game.

When are Josh Allen and Michael Penix Jr.'s bye weeks in 2026?▾

Josh Allen (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Michael Penix Jr. (ATL) has a bye in Week 5. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Josh Allen or Michael Penix Jr. a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Josh Allen outscored Michael Penix Jr. by 9.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.