Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Josh Allen vs Matthew Stafford

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Josh Allen is the better fantasy play this season.

Josh Allen is the better play on a neutral week. 22.8 PPG with 4,247 yards gives a reliable baseline. Matthew Stafford at 20.6 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Josh Allen higher, but do not fade Matthew Stafford entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

Want this verdict updated live on Sunday?

The DraftCall app pushes alerts the moment Josh Allen or Matthew Stafford's status changes. Free.

Get the App

QBBuffalo Bills#1PPG LEADER

Josh Allen

PPG

22.8

Games

Pass Yds

3,668

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

579

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 7

QBLos Angeles Rams#3

Matthew Stafford

PPG

20.6

Games

Pass Yds

4,707

Pass TDs

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Josh Allen

Matthew Stafford

Head to Head

22.8 PPG20.6 PPG

16 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Josh Allen: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #1 at the position). Matthew Stafford: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #3 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Josh Allen is producing at 104% of elite pace and Matthew Stafford at 94%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Josh Allen vs Matthew Stafford: Who Should You Start?

Deciding between Josh Allen and Matthew Stafford is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The Buffalo Bills quarterback put up 22.8 PPG in 2025 over 16 games; Matthew Stafford of the Los Angeles Rams averaged 20.6 in 17. A 2.2-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 2.2 points favors Josh Allen, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Josh Allen offers meaningful rushing upside with 579 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Matthew Stafford (4707 passing yards, 46 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

One scheduling note: Josh Allen is off Week 7 and Matthew Stafford Week 8. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Josh Allen (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Matthew Stafford (age 38) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year.

Did You Know?

•Josh Allen outscored Matthew Stafford by a projected 37 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Matthew Stafford played 17 games in 2025 compared to Josh Allen's 16. That durability gap means Matthew Stafford contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Matthew Stafford scored 46 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.7 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Josh Allen added 579 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
•Josh Allen is 9 years younger than Matthew Stafford (29 vs 38), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown▾

StatAllenStafford

PPG (Half-PPR)22.820.6

Games Played1617

Total Fantasy Pts (est.)365350

Passing Yards3,6684,707

Passing TDs2546

Pass Yds/Game229.3276.9

Rushing Yards5791

Rushing TDs140

Total TDs3946

TDs/Game2.42.7

Age2938

Experience7 yrs16 yrs

Bye WeekWeek 7Week 8

Summary

22.8 PPG for Josh Allen versus 20.6 for Matthew Stafford in 2025. The baseline favors Josh Allen, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

Website vs App

Get the AI verdict on Josh Allen vs Matthew Stafford

DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality, recent trends, injury impact, and game script to give you a clear start/sit recommendation.

See everything in the app →

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Josh Allen or Matthew Stafford in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Josh Allen has the edge at 22.8 PPG compared to Matthew Stafford's 20.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Josh Allen and Matthew Stafford average in 2025?▾

Josh Allen averaged 22.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Matthew Stafford averaged 20.6 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 2.2 points per game.

When are Josh Allen and Matthew Stafford's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Josh Allen (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Matthew Stafford (LAR) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Josh Allen or Matthew Stafford a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Josh Allen outscored Matthew Stafford by 2.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.