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Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Joe Mixon vs Nick Chubb

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Joe Mixon is the better fantasy play this season.

Joe Mixon is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 16.5 PPG and 1,405 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Nick Chubb (5.5 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Joe Mixon as the starter and Nick Chubb as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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RBHouston Texans#99PPG LEADER
Joe Mixon
PPG
16.5
Games
15
Rush Yds
1,165
Rush TDs
11
Rec
32
Rec Yds
240
Bye
Week 14
RBHouston Texans#59
Nick Chubb
PPG
5.5
Games
15
Rush Yds
506
Rush TDs
3
Rec
13
Rec Yds
67
Bye
Week 6

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Joe Mixon
Nick Chubb

Head to Head

16.5 PPG5.5 PPG
15 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Joe Mixon: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #99 at the position). Nick Chubb: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #59 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Joe Mixon is producing at 75% of elite pace and Nick Chubb at 25%. That ranking gap means Nick Chubb carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Joe Mixon vs Nick Chubb: Who Should You Start?

Joe Mixon and Nick Chubb are at different tiers heading into 2026. The Houston Texans running back averaged 16.5 PPG in 2025, a full 11.0 points per game ahead of Nick Chubb's 5.5 with the Houston Texans. That kind of gap doesn't close on matchup alone.

Joe Mixon carries a 11.0-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Joe Mixon ran for 1165 yards and 11 touchdowns; Nick Chubb posted 506 and 3. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

Joe Mixon has his bye in Week 14, and Nick Chubb rests in Week 6. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at running back for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Joe Mixon at a discount because your league-mates undervalue running back production, do it. Nick Chubb is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Joe Mixon (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open. Nick Chubb (age 30, 7 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Joe Mixon outscored Nick Chubb by a projected 187 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Joe Mixon scored 12 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
  • Joe Mixon caught 32 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatMixonChubb
PPG (Half-PPR)16.55.5
Games Played1515
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)24883
Rushing Yards1,165506
Rush Yds/Game77.733.7
Rushing TDs113
Receptions3213
Receiving Yards24067
Targets020
Total TDs123
Age-30
Experience-7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 14Week 6

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Joe Mixon holds the PPG edge with solid output at 16.5 points per game. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Joe Mixon or Nick Chubb in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Joe Mixon has the edge at 16.5 PPG compared to Nick Chubb's 5.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Joe Mixon and Nick Chubb average in 2025?

Joe Mixon averaged 16.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 11.0 points per game.

When are Joe Mixon and Nick Chubb's bye weeks in 2026?

Joe Mixon (HOU) has a bye in Week 14, and Nick Chubb (HOU) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Joe Mixon or Nick Chubb a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Joe Mixon outscored Nick Chubb by 11.0 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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