Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Joe Mixon vs Justice Hill

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Joe Mixon is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Joe Mixon outscored Justice Hill by 10.4 PPG in 2025 with 12 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Joe Mixon is the clear pick. Justice Hill profiles as a matchup-dependent running back who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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RBHouston Texans#99PPG LEADER

Joe Mixon

PPG

16.5

Games

Rush Yds

1,165

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

240

Bye

Week 14

RBBaltimore Ravens#53

Justice Hill

PPG

6.1

Games

Rush Yds

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

169

Bye

Week 7

The Edge Chart

Joe Mixon

Justice Hill

Head to Head

16.5 PPG6.1 PPG

15 GP9 GP

Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Joe Mixon: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #99 at the position). Justice Hill: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #53 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Joe Mixon is producing at 75% of elite pace and Justice Hill at 28%. That ranking gap means Justice Hill carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Joe Mixon vs Justice Hill: Who Should You Start?

There is a real production gap between these two running backs. Joe Mixon (Houston Texans) averaged 16.5 PPG over 15 games in 2025, outscoring Justice Hill (Baltimore Ravens, 6.1 PPG) by 10.4 points per week. That separation would need a significant matchup swing to overcome.

The per-game difference of 10.4 points favors Joe Mixon, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one running back to the other.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Joe Mixon ran for 1165 yards and 11 touchdowns; Justice Hill posted 93 and 2. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

One scheduling note: Joe Mixon is off Week 14 and Justice Hill Week 7. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in running back for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Joe Mixon is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Justice Hill is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Joe Mixon (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open. Justice Hill (age 28, 6 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Joe Mixon outscored Justice Hill by a projected 177 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Joe Mixon played 15 games in 2025 compared to Justice Hill's 9. That durability gap means Joe Mixon contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Joe Mixon scored 12 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
•Joe Mixon caught 32 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.

Detailed Stat Breakdown▾

StatMixonHill

PPG (Half-PPR)16.56.1

Games Played159

Total Fantasy Pts (est.)24855

Rushing Yards1,16593

Rush Yds/Game77.710.3

Rushing TDs112

Receptions3221

Receiving Yards240169

Targets027

Total TDs123

Age-28

Experience-6 yrs

Bye WeekWeek 14Week 7

Summary

16.5 PPG for Joe Mixon versus 6.1 for Justice Hill in 2025. The baseline favors Joe Mixon, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Joe Mixon or Justice Hill in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Joe Mixon has the edge at 16.5 PPG compared to Justice Hill's 6.1 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Joe Mixon and Justice Hill average in 2025?▾

Joe Mixon averaged 16.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Justice Hill averaged 6.1 PPG over 9 games. That is a difference of 10.4 points per game.

When are Joe Mixon and Justice Hill's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Joe Mixon (HOU) has a bye in Week 14, and Justice Hill (BAL) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Joe Mixon or Justice Hill a better fantasy running back in 2026?▾

Joe Mixon outscored Justice Hill by 10.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.