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Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

J.J. McCarthy vs Josh Allen

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Josh Allen is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Josh Allen outscored J.J. McCarthy by 10.3 PPG in 2025 with 39 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Josh Allen is the clear pick. J.J. McCarthy profiles as a matchup-dependent quarterback who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBMinnesota Vikings#32
J.J. McCarthy
PPG
12.5
Games
10
Pass Yds
1,632
Pass TDs
11
Rush Yds
181
Rush TDs
4
Bye
Week 6
QBBuffalo Bills#1PPG LEADER
Josh Allen
PPG
22.8
Games
16
Pass Yds
3,668
Pass TDs
25
Rush Yds
579
Rush TDs
14
Bye
Week 7

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
J.J. McCarthy
Josh Allen

Head to Head

12.5 PPG22.8 PPG
10 GP16 GP
Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

J.J. McCarthy: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #32 at the position). Josh Allen: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #1 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, J.J. McCarthy is producing at 57% of elite pace and Josh Allen at 104%. That ranking gap means Josh Allen carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

J.J. McCarthy vs Josh Allen: Who Should You Start?

Josh Allen and J.J. McCarthy are at different tiers heading into 2026. The Buffalo Bills quarterback averaged 22.8 PPG in 2025, a full 10.3 points per game ahead of J.J. McCarthy's 12.5 with the Minnesota Vikings. That kind of gap doesn't close on matchup alone.

That 10.3-point weekly advantage for Josh Allen is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Josh Allen offers meaningful rushing upside with 579 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like J.J. McCarthy (1632 passing yards, 11 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

J.J. McCarthy has his bye in Week 6, and Josh Allen rests in Week 7. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Josh Allen is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. J.J. McCarthy is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: J.J. McCarthy (age 23) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising. Josh Allen (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Josh Allen outscored J.J. McCarthy by a projected 175 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Josh Allen played 16 games in 2025 compared to J.J. McCarthy's 10. That durability gap means Josh Allen contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Josh Allen scored 39 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Josh Allen added 579 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
  • J.J. McCarthy is 6 years younger than Josh Allen (23 vs 29), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatMcCarthyAllen
PPG (Half-PPR)12.522.8
Games Played1016
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)125365
Passing Yards1,6323,668
Passing TDs1125
Pass Yds/Game163.2229.3
Rushing Yards181579
Rushing TDs414
Total TDs1539
TDs/Game1.52.4
Age2329
Experience1 yrs7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 6Week 7

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Josh Allen at 22.8 PPG, 10.3 points per game above J.J. McCarthy's 12.5. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start J.J. McCarthy or Josh Allen in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Josh Allen has the edge at 22.8 PPG compared to J.J. McCarthy's 12.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did J.J. McCarthy and Josh Allen average in 2025?

J.J. McCarthy averaged 12.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 10 games in 2025. Josh Allen averaged 22.8 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 10.3 points per game.

When are J.J. McCarthy and Josh Allen's bye weeks in 2026?

J.J. McCarthy (MIN) has a bye in Week 6, and Josh Allen (BUF) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is J.J. McCarthy or Josh Allen a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Josh Allen outscored J.J. McCarthy by 10.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.