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Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Ja'Marr Chase vs Luther Burden III

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Ja'Marr Chase is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Ja'Marr Chase outscored Luther Burden III by 8.7 PPG in 2025 with 8 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Ja'Marr Chase is the clear pick. Luther Burden III profiles as a matchup-dependent wide receiver who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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WRCincinnati Bengals#3PPG LEADER
Ja'Marr Chase
PPG
15.7
Games
16
Rec
125
Rec Yds
1,412
Rec TDs
8
Targets
185
Bye
Week 10
WRChicago Bears#60
Luther Burden III
PPG
7.0
Games
15
Rec
47
Rec Yds
652
Rec TDs
2
Targets
60
Bye
Week 5

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Ja'Marr Chase
Luther Burden III

Head to Head

15.7 PPG7.0 PPG
16 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 5

Fantasy Tiers

Ja'Marr Chase: Tier 1 (Elite) WR (ranked #3 at the position). Luther Burden III: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #60 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Ja'Marr Chase is producing at 71% of elite pace and Luther Burden III at 32%. That ranking gap means Ja'Marr Chase carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Ja'Marr Chase vs Luther Burden III: Who Should You Start?

The numbers tell a clear story here. Ja'Marr Chase put up 15.7 fantasy points per game for the Cincinnati Bengals in 2025, while Luther Burden III managed 7.0 across 15 games with the Chicago Bears. A 8.7-point weekly edge is substantial at the wide receiver position.

The per-game difference of 8.7 points favors Ja'Marr Chase, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one wide receiver to the other.

Target volume is the story here. Ja'Marr Chase saw 185 targets in 2025, while Luther Burden III drew 60. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Ja'Marr Chase, even in weeks where Luther Burden III posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Ja'Marr Chase sits Week 10 while Luther Burden III is off Week 5. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Ja'Marr Chase is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Luther Burden III is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Ja'Marr Chase (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Luther Burden III (age 22) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Ja'Marr Chase outscored Luther Burden III by a projected 148 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Ja'Marr Chase played 16 games in 2025 compared to Luther Burden III's 15. That durability gap means Ja'Marr Chase contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Ja'Marr Chase scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Ja'Marr Chase saw 185 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.
  • Luther Burden III is 4 years younger than Ja'Marr Chase (22 vs 26), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatChaseIII
PPG (Half-PPR)15.77.0
Games Played1615
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)251105
Receptions12547
Rec/Game7.83.1
Receiving Yards1,412652
Rec Yds/Game88.343.5
Receiving TDs82
Targets18560
Target Share/Game11.64.0
Age2622
Experience4 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 5

Summary

15.7 PPG for Ja'Marr Chase versus 7.0 for Luther Burden III in 2025. The baseline favors Ja'Marr Chase, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Ja'Marr Chase or Luther Burden III in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Ja'Marr Chase has the edge at 15.7 PPG compared to Luther Burden III's 7.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Ja'Marr Chase and Luther Burden III average in 2025?

Ja'Marr Chase averaged 15.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Luther Burden III averaged 7.0 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 8.7 points per game.

When are Ja'Marr Chase and Luther Burden III's bye weeks in 2026?

Ja'Marr Chase (CIN) has a bye in Week 10, and Luther Burden III (CHI) has a bye in Week 5. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Ja'Marr Chase or Luther Burden III a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Ja'Marr Chase outscored Luther Burden III by 8.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.