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Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Dallas Goedert vs Dalton Kincaid

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Dallas Goedert is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Dallas Goedert edges Dalton Kincaid by 1.4 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Dallas Goedert goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TEPhiladelphia Eagles#5PPG LEADER
Dallas Goedert
PPG
10.3
Games
15
Rec
60
Rec Yds
591
Rec TDs
11
Targets
82
Bye
Week 9
TEBuffalo Bills#11
Dalton Kincaid
PPG
8.9
Games
12
Rec
39
Rec Yds
571
Rec TDs
5
Targets
49
Bye
Week 7

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Dallas Goedert
Dalton Kincaid

Head to Head

10.3 PPG8.9 PPG
15 GP12 GP
Bye: Week 9Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Dallas Goedert: Tier 1 (Elite) TE (ranked #5 at the position). Dalton Kincaid: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #11 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Dallas Goedert is producing at 47% of elite pace and Dalton Kincaid at 40%. That ranking gap means Dallas Goedert carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Dallas Goedert vs Dalton Kincaid: Who Should You Start?

The gap between Dallas Goedert and Dalton Kincaid is smaller than most fantasy managers think. Separated by just 1.4 PPG in 2025, this is one of those tight end decisions that comes down to context, not name recognition. Dallas Goedert averaged 10.3 PPG with the Philadelphia Eagles across 15 games, and Dalton Kincaid posted 8.9 with the Buffalo Bills in 12.

When two tight ends are separated by less than two points per game, the decision shifts to weekly context. Who has the softer defense? Who is trending up over the last month? Which team is projected for more total points? Those are the tiebreakers that actually matter.

Dallas Goedert is the volume tight end in this matchup with 60 receptions for 591 yards, while Dalton Kincaid profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (5 scores on 39 catches). In weeks where Dalton Kincaid finds the end zone he out-scores Dallas Goedert, but the floor gap is real.

Dallas Goedert has his bye in Week 9, and Dalton Kincaid rests in Week 7. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at tight end for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Dallas Goedert (age 31) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining. Dalton Kincaid (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Dallas Goedert outscored Dalton Kincaid by a projected 24 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Dallas Goedert played 15 games in 2025 compared to Dalton Kincaid's 12. That durability gap means Dallas Goedert contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Dallas Goedert scored 11 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.7 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Dallas Goedert saw 82 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.
  • Dalton Kincaid is 5 years younger than Dallas Goedert (26 vs 31), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatGoedertKincaid
PPG (Half-PPR)10.38.9
Games Played1512
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)155107
Receptions6039
Rec/Game4.03.3
Receiving Yards591571
Rec Yds/Game39.447.6
Receiving TDs115
Targets8249
Target Share/Game5.54.1
Age3126
Experience7 yrs2 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 9Week 7

Summary

Dallas Goedert outscored Dalton Kincaid by 1.4 PPG in 2025 (10.3 to 8.9). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dallas Goedert or Dalton Kincaid in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Dallas Goedert has the edge at 10.3 PPG compared to Dalton Kincaid's 8.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dallas Goedert and Dalton Kincaid average in 2025?

Dallas Goedert averaged 10.3 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Dalton Kincaid averaged 8.9 PPG over 12 games. That is a difference of 1.4 points per game.

When are Dallas Goedert and Dalton Kincaid's bye weeks in 2026?

Dallas Goedert (PHI) has a bye in Week 9, and Dalton Kincaid (BUF) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Dallas Goedert or Dalton Kincaid a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Dallas Goedert outscored Dalton Kincaid by 1.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.