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Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Christian McCaffrey vs Jaylen Warren

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Christian McCaffrey is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Christian McCaffrey outscored Jaylen Warren by 9.2 PPG in 2025 with 17 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Christian McCaffrey is the clear pick. Jaylen Warren profiles as a matchup-dependent running back who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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RBSan Francisco 49ers#1PPG LEADER
Christian McCaffrey
PPG
21.5
Games
17
Rush Yds
1,202
Rush TDs
10
Rec
102
Rec Yds
924
Bye
Week 14
RBPittsburgh Steelers#18
Jaylen Warren
PPG
12.3
Games
16
Rush Yds
958
Rush TDs
6
Rec
40
Rec Yds
333
Bye
Week 5

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Christian McCaffrey
Jaylen Warren

Head to Head

21.5 PPG12.3 PPG
17 GP16 GP
Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 5

Fantasy Tiers

Christian McCaffrey: Tier 1 (Elite) RB (ranked #1 at the position). Jaylen Warren: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) RB (ranked #18 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Christian McCaffrey is producing at 98% of elite pace and Jaylen Warren at 56%. That ranking gap means Christian McCaffrey carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Christian McCaffrey vs Jaylen Warren: Who Should You Start?

The numbers tell a clear story here. Christian McCaffrey put up 21.5 fantasy points per game for the San Francisco 49ers in 2025, while Jaylen Warren managed 12.3 across 16 games with the Pittsburgh Steelers. A 9.2-point weekly edge is substantial at the running back position.

That 9.2-point weekly advantage for Christian McCaffrey is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Both are three-down backs with real passing-game roles. Christian McCaffrey caught 102 balls for 924 yards, and Jaylen Warren hauled in 40 for 333. That receiving workload gives them high PPR floors even in games where the ground attack gets stuffed, and it is why both stay on the field in obvious passing situations.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Christian McCaffrey sits Week 14 while Jaylen Warren is off Week 5. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Christian McCaffrey is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Jaylen Warren is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Christian McCaffrey (age 29, 8 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value. Jaylen Warren (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open.

Did You Know?

  • Christian McCaffrey outscored Jaylen Warren by a projected 156 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Christian McCaffrey played 17 games in 2025 compared to Jaylen Warren's 16. That durability gap means Christian McCaffrey contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Christian McCaffrey scored 17 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.0 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
  • Christian McCaffrey caught 102 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatMcCaffreyWarren
PPG (Half-PPR)21.512.3
Games Played1716
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)366197
Rushing Yards1,202958
Rush Yds/Game70.759.9
Rushing TDs106
Receptions10240
Receiving Yards924333
Targets12945
Total TDs178
Age2927
Experience8 yrs3 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 14Week 5

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Christian McCaffrey at 21.5 PPG, 9.2 points per game above Jaylen Warren's 12.3. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Christian McCaffrey or Jaylen Warren in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Christian McCaffrey has the edge at 21.5 PPG compared to Jaylen Warren's 12.3 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Christian McCaffrey and Jaylen Warren average in 2025?

Christian McCaffrey averaged 21.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Jaylen Warren averaged 12.3 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 9.2 points per game.

When are Christian McCaffrey and Jaylen Warren's bye weeks in 2026?

Christian McCaffrey (SF) has a bye in Week 14, and Jaylen Warren (PIT) has a bye in Week 5. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Christian McCaffrey or Jaylen Warren a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Christian McCaffrey outscored Jaylen Warren by 9.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.