DraftCall
DraftCallFantasy Football

Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Caleb Williams vs Trevor Lawrence

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Trevor Lawrence is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Trevor Lawrence edges Caleb Williams by 1.2 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Trevor Lawrence goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

Want this verdict updated live on Sunday?

The DraftCall app pushes alerts the moment Caleb Williams or Trevor Lawrence's status changes. Free.

Get the App
QBChicago Bears#8
Caleb Williams
PPG
18.7
Games
17
Pass Yds
3,942
Pass TDs
27
Rush Yds
383
Rush TDs
3
Bye
Week 5
QBJacksonville Jaguars#5PPG LEADER
Trevor Lawrence
PPG
19.9
Games
17
Pass Yds
4,007
Pass TDs
29
Rush Yds
359
Rush TDs
9
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Caleb Williams
Trevor Lawrence

Head to Head

18.7 PPG19.9 PPG
17 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 5Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Caleb Williams: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #8 at the position). Trevor Lawrence: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #5 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Caleb Williams is producing at 85% of elite pace and Trevor Lawrence at 90%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Caleb Williams vs Trevor Lawrence: Who Should You Start?

The gap between Caleb Williams and Trevor Lawrence is smaller than most fantasy managers think. Separated by just 1.2 PPG in 2025, this is one of those quarterback decisions that comes down to context, not name recognition. Caleb Williams averaged 18.7 PPG with the Chicago Bears across 17 games, and Trevor Lawrence posted 19.9 with the Jacksonville Jaguars in 17.

When two quarterbacks are separated by less than two points per game, the decision shifts to weekly context. Who has the softer defense? Who is trending up over the last month? Which team is projected for more total points? Those are the tiebreakers that actually matter.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Caleb Williams threw for 3942 yards and 27 touchdowns, while Trevor Lawrence posted 4007 yards and 29 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Caleb Williams has his bye in Week 5, and Trevor Lawrence rests in Week 8. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Caleb Williams (age 24) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising. Trevor Lawrence (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Trevor Lawrence outscored Caleb Williams by a projected 20 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Trevor Lawrence scored 38 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Caleb Williams added 383 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatWilliamsLawrence
PPG (Half-PPR)18.719.9
Games Played1717
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)318338
Passing Yards3,9424,007
Passing TDs2729
Pass Yds/Game231.9235.7
Rushing Yards383359
Rushing TDs39
Total TDs3138
TDs/Game1.82.2
Age2426
Experience1 yrs4 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 5Week 8

Summary

Trevor Lawrence outscored Caleb Williams by 1.2 PPG in 2025 (19.9 to 18.7). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

DraftCall app on iPhone

Website vs App

Get the AI verdict on Caleb Williams vs Trevor Lawrence

DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality, recent trends, injury impact, and game script to give you a clear start/sit recommendation.

See everything in the app →

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Caleb Williams or Trevor Lawrence in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Trevor Lawrence has the edge at 19.9 PPG compared to Caleb Williams's 18.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Caleb Williams and Trevor Lawrence average in 2025?

Caleb Williams averaged 18.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Trevor Lawrence averaged 19.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 1.2 points per game.

When are Caleb Williams and Trevor Lawrence's bye weeks in 2026?

Caleb Williams (CHI) has a bye in Week 5, and Trevor Lawrence (JAX) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Caleb Williams or Trevor Lawrence a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Trevor Lawrence outscored Caleb Williams by 1.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.