Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Caleb Williams vs Matthew Stafford

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Matthew Stafford is the better fantasy play this season.

Matthew Stafford has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 1.9-PPG advantage is real (20.6 to 18.7), and Matthew Stafford's 46 touchdowns show scoring upside. Caleb Williams is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBChicago Bears#8

Caleb Williams

PPG

18.7

Games

Pass Yds

3,942

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

383

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 5

QBLos Angeles Rams#3PPG LEADER

Matthew Stafford

PPG

20.6

Games

Pass Yds

4,707

Pass TDs

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Caleb Williams

Matthew Stafford

Head to Head

18.7 PPG20.6 PPG

17 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 5Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Caleb Williams: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #8 at the position). Matthew Stafford: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #3 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Caleb Williams is producing at 85% of elite pace and Matthew Stafford at 94%. That ranking gap means Matthew Stafford carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Caleb Williams vs Matthew Stafford: Who Should You Start?

Caleb Williams and Matthew Stafford are both viable fantasy quarterbacks heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Caleb Williams averaged 18.7 PPG across 17 games with the Chicago Bears, while Matthew Stafford posted 20.6 PPG in 17 appearances for the Los Angeles Rams.

A 1.9-PPG gap gives Matthew Stafford the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Caleb Williams threw for 3942 yards and 27 touchdowns, while Matthew Stafford posted 4707 yards and 46 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Caleb Williams is off Week 5 and Matthew Stafford Week 8. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Caleb Williams (age 24) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising. Matthew Stafford (age 38) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year.

Did You Know?

•Matthew Stafford outscored Caleb Williams by a projected 32 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Matthew Stafford scored 46 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.7 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Caleb Williams added 383 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
•Caleb Williams is 14 years younger than Matthew Stafford (24 vs 38), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown▾

StatWilliamsStafford

PPG (Half-PPR)18.720.6

Games Played1717

Total Fantasy Pts (est.)318350

Passing Yards3,9424,707

Passing TDs2746

Pass Yds/Game231.9276.9

Rushing Yards3831

Rushing TDs30

Total TDs3146

TDs/Game1.82.7

Age2438

Experience1 yrs16 yrs

Bye WeekWeek 5Week 8

Summary

Matthew Stafford outscored Caleb Williams by 1.9 PPG in 2025 (20.6 to 18.7). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Caleb Williams or Matthew Stafford in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Matthew Stafford has the edge at 20.6 PPG compared to Caleb Williams's 18.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Caleb Williams and Matthew Stafford average in 2025?▾

Caleb Williams averaged 18.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Matthew Stafford averaged 20.6 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 1.9 points per game.

When are Caleb Williams and Matthew Stafford's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Caleb Williams (CHI) has a bye in Week 5, and Matthew Stafford (LAR) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Caleb Williams or Matthew Stafford a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Matthew Stafford outscored Caleb Williams by 1.9 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.