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Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Bijan Robinson vs Nick Chubb

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Bijan Robinson is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Bijan Robinson outscored Nick Chubb by 14.0 PPG in 2025 with 11 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Bijan Robinson is the clear pick. Nick Chubb profiles as a matchup-dependent running back who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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RBAtlanta Falcons#3PPG LEADER
Bijan Robinson
PPG
19.5
Games
17
Rush Yds
1,478
Rush TDs
7
Rec
79
Rec Yds
820
Bye
Week 5
RBHouston Texans#59
Nick Chubb
PPG
5.5
Games
15
Rush Yds
506
Rush TDs
3
Rec
13
Rec Yds
67
Bye
Week 6

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Bijan Robinson
Nick Chubb

Head to Head

19.5 PPG5.5 PPG
17 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 5Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Bijan Robinson: Tier 1 (Elite) RB (ranked #3 at the position). Nick Chubb: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #59 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Bijan Robinson is producing at 89% of elite pace and Nick Chubb at 25%. That ranking gap means Bijan Robinson carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Bijan Robinson vs Nick Chubb: Who Should You Start?

Bijan Robinson and Nick Chubb are at different tiers heading into 2026. The Atlanta Falcons running back averaged 19.5 PPG in 2025, a full 14.0 points per game ahead of Nick Chubb's 5.5 with the Houston Texans. That kind of gap doesn't close on matchup alone.

The per-game difference of 14.0 points favors Bijan Robinson, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one running back to the other.

Bijan Robinson is the receiving back in this matchup, turning 79 targets into 820 yards, while Nick Chubb profiles as a more traditional rusher with 506 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. In PPR and half-PPR formats Bijan Robinson carries the higher weekly floor. In standard leagues the gap tightens considerably.

Bijan Robinson has his bye in Week 5, and Nick Chubb rests in Week 6. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at running back for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Bijan Robinson is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Nick Chubb is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Bijan Robinson (age 24) has not yet hit the RB cliff. High dynasty ceiling if volume holds. Nick Chubb (age 30, 7 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Bijan Robinson outscored Nick Chubb by a projected 238 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Bijan Robinson played 17 games in 2025 compared to Nick Chubb's 15. That durability gap means Bijan Robinson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Bijan Robinson scored 11 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
  • Bijan Robinson caught 79 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.
  • Bijan Robinson is 6 years younger than Nick Chubb (24 vs 30), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatRobinsonChubb
PPG (Half-PPR)19.55.5
Games Played1715
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)33283
Rushing Yards1,478506
Rush Yds/Game86.933.7
Rushing TDs73
Receptions7913
Receiving Yards82067
Targets10320
Total TDs113
Age2430
Experience2 yrs7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 5Week 6

Summary

19.5 PPG for Bijan Robinson versus 5.5 for Nick Chubb in 2025. The baseline favors Bijan Robinson, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Bijan Robinson or Nick Chubb in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Bijan Robinson has the edge at 19.5 PPG compared to Nick Chubb's 5.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Bijan Robinson and Nick Chubb average in 2025?

Bijan Robinson averaged 19.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 14.0 points per game.

When are Bijan Robinson and Nick Chubb's bye weeks in 2026?

Bijan Robinson (ATL) has a bye in Week 5, and Nick Chubb (HOU) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Bijan Robinson or Nick Chubb a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Bijan Robinson outscored Nick Chubb by 14.0 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.