Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Aaron Jones vs Bijan Robinson

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Bijan Robinson is the better fantasy play this season.

Bijan Robinson is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 19.5 PPG and 2,298 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Aaron Jones (8.7 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Bijan Robinson as the starter and Aaron Jones as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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RBMinnesota Vikings#34

Aaron Jones

PPG

8.7

Games

Rush Yds

548

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

199

Bye

Week 6

RBAtlanta Falcons#3PPG LEADER

Bijan Robinson

PPG

19.5

Games

Rush Yds

1,478

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

820

Bye

Week 5

The Edge Chart

Aaron Jones

Bijan Robinson

Head to Head

8.7 PPG19.5 PPG

12 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 5

Fantasy Tiers

Aaron Jones: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) RB (ranked #34 at the position). Bijan Robinson: Tier 1 (Elite) RB (ranked #3 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Aaron Jones is producing at 40% of elite pace and Bijan Robinson at 89%. That ranking gap means Bijan Robinson carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aaron Jones vs Bijan Robinson: Who Should You Start?

Bijan Robinson and Aaron Jones are at different tiers heading into 2026. The Atlanta Falcons running back averaged 19.5 PPG in 2025, a full 10.8 points per game ahead of Aaron Jones's 8.7 with the Minnesota Vikings. That kind of gap doesn't close on matchup alone.

A 10.8-PPG gap gives Bijan Robinson the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Bijan Robinson is the receiving back in this matchup, turning 79 targets into 820 yards, while Aaron Jones profiles as a more traditional rusher with 548 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. In PPR and half-PPR formats Bijan Robinson carries the higher weekly floor. In standard leagues the gap tightens considerably.

Aaron Jones has his bye in Week 6, and Bijan Robinson rests in Week 5. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at running back for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Bijan Robinson at a discount because your league-mates undervalue running back production, do it. Aaron Jones is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Aaron Jones (age 31, 8 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value. Bijan Robinson (age 24) has not yet hit the RB cliff. High dynasty ceiling if volume holds.

Did You Know?

•Bijan Robinson outscored Aaron Jones by a projected 184 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Bijan Robinson played 17 games in 2025 compared to Aaron Jones's 12. That durability gap means Bijan Robinson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Bijan Robinson scored 11 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
•Bijan Robinson caught 79 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.
•Bijan Robinson is 7 years younger than Aaron Jones (24 vs 31), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown▾

StatJonesRobinson

PPG (Half-PPR)8.719.5

Games Played1217

Total Fantasy Pts (est.)104332

Rushing Yards5481,478

Rush Yds/Game45.786.9

Rushing TDs27

Receptions2879

Receiving Yards199820

Targets41103

Total TDs311

Age3124

Experience8 yrs2 yrs

Bye WeekWeek 6Week 5

Summary

Bijan Robinson outscored Aaron Jones by 10.8 PPG in 2025 (19.5 to 8.7). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aaron Jones or Bijan Robinson in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Bijan Robinson has the edge at 19.5 PPG compared to Aaron Jones's 8.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aaron Jones and Bijan Robinson average in 2025?▾

Aaron Jones averaged 8.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 12 games in 2025. Bijan Robinson averaged 19.5 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 10.8 points per game.

When are Aaron Jones and Bijan Robinson's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Aaron Jones (MIN) has a bye in Week 6, and Bijan Robinson (ATL) has a bye in Week 5. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aaron Jones or Bijan Robinson a better fantasy running back in 2026?▾

Bijan Robinson outscored Aaron Jones by 10.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.