DraftCall
DraftCallFantasy Football

Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Justin Herbert vs Trevor Lawrence

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Trevor Lawrence is the better fantasy play this season.

Trevor Lawrence has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 2.0-PPG advantage is real (19.9 to 17.9), and Trevor Lawrence's 38 touchdowns show scoring upside. Justin Herbert is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

Want this verdict updated live on Sunday?

The DraftCall app pushes alerts the moment Justin Herbert or Trevor Lawrence's status changes. Free.

Get the App
QBLos Angeles Chargers#10
Justin Herbert
PPG
17.9
Games
16
Pass Yds
3,727
Pass TDs
26
Rush Yds
498
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 12
QBJacksonville Jaguars#5PPG LEADER
Trevor Lawrence
PPG
19.9
Games
17
Pass Yds
4,007
Pass TDs
29
Rush Yds
359
Rush TDs
9
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Justin Herbert
Trevor Lawrence

Head to Head

17.9 PPG19.9 PPG
16 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 12Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Justin Herbert: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #10 at the position). Trevor Lawrence: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #5 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Justin Herbert is producing at 81% of elite pace and Trevor Lawrence at 90%. That ranking gap means Trevor Lawrence carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Justin Herbert vs Trevor Lawrence: Who Should You Start?

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Justin Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) finished the 2025 season averaging 17.9 fantasy points per game in 16 games. Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) came in at 19.9 PPG over 17 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Trevor Lawrence carries a 2.0-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Justin Herbert offers meaningful rushing upside with 498 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Trevor Lawrence (4007 passing yards, 29 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

Justin Herbert has his bye in Week 12, and Trevor Lawrence rests in Week 8. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Justin Herbert (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Trevor Lawrence (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Trevor Lawrence outscored Justin Herbert by a projected 34 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Trevor Lawrence played 17 games in 2025 compared to Justin Herbert's 16. That durability gap means Trevor Lawrence contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Trevor Lawrence scored 38 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Justin Herbert added 498 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatHerbertLawrence
PPG (Half-PPR)17.919.9
Games Played1617
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)286338
Passing Yards3,7274,007
Passing TDs2629
Pass Yds/Game232.9235.7
Rushing Yards498359
Rushing TDs29
Total TDs2838
TDs/Game1.82.2
Age2826
Experience5 yrs4 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 12Week 8

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Trevor Lawrence holds the PPG edge with strong output at 19.9 points per game. Justin Herbert averaged 17.9 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

DraftCall app on iPhone

Website vs App

Get the AI verdict on Justin Herbert vs Trevor Lawrence

DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality, recent trends, injury impact, and game script to give you a clear start/sit recommendation.

See everything in the app →

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Justin Herbert or Trevor Lawrence in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Trevor Lawrence has the edge at 19.9 PPG compared to Justin Herbert's 17.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Justin Herbert and Trevor Lawrence average in 2025?

Justin Herbert averaged 17.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Trevor Lawrence averaged 19.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 2.0 points per game.

When are Justin Herbert and Trevor Lawrence's bye weeks in 2026?

Justin Herbert (LAC) has a bye in Week 12, and Trevor Lawrence (JAX) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Justin Herbert or Trevor Lawrence a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Trevor Lawrence outscored Justin Herbert by 2.0 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.