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Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

George Kittle vs Jake Ferguson

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

George Kittle is the better fantasy play this season.

George Kittle has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.4-PPG advantage is real (12.1 to 8.7), and George Kittle's 7 touchdowns show scoring upside. Jake Ferguson is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TESan Francisco 49ers#3PPG LEADER
George Kittle
PPG
12.1
Games
11
Rec
57
Rec Yds
628
Rec TDs
7
Targets
69
Bye
Week 14
TEDallas Cowboys#14
Jake Ferguson
PPG
8.7
Games
17
Rec
82
Rec Yds
600
Rec TDs
8
Targets
102
Bye
Week 10

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
George Kittle
Jake Ferguson

Head to Head

12.1 PPG8.7 PPG
11 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

George Kittle: Tier 1 (Elite) TE (ranked #3 at the position). Jake Ferguson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #14 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, George Kittle is producing at 55% of elite pace and Jake Ferguson at 40%. That ranking gap means George Kittle carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

George Kittle vs Jake Ferguson: Who Should You Start?

George Kittle and Jake Ferguson are both viable fantasy tight ends heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. George Kittle averaged 12.1 PPG across 11 games with the San Francisco 49ers, while Jake Ferguson posted 8.7 PPG in 17 appearances for the Dallas Cowboys.

A 3.4-PPG gap gives George Kittle the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Jake Ferguson is the volume tight end in this matchup with 82 receptions for 600 yards, while George Kittle profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (7 scores on 57 catches). In weeks where George Kittle finds the end zone he out-scores Jake Ferguson, but the floor gap is real.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: George Kittle sits Week 14 while Jake Ferguson is off Week 10. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire George Kittle at a discount because your league-mates undervalue tight end production, do it. Jake Ferguson is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: George Kittle (age 32) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining. Jake Ferguson (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • George Kittle outscored Jake Ferguson by a projected 58 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Jake Ferguson played 17 games in 2025 compared to George Kittle's 11. That durability gap means Jake Ferguson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Jake Ferguson scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Jake Ferguson saw 102 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.
  • Jake Ferguson is 5 years younger than George Kittle (27 vs 32), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatKittleFerguson
PPG (Half-PPR)12.18.7
Games Played1117
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)133148
Receptions5782
Rec/Game5.24.8
Receiving Yards628600
Rec Yds/Game57.135.3
Receiving TDs78
Targets69102
Target Share/Game6.36.0
Age3227
Experience8 yrs3 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 14Week 10

Summary

George Kittle outscored Jake Ferguson by 3.4 PPG in 2025 (12.1 to 8.7). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start George Kittle or Jake Ferguson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, George Kittle has the edge at 12.1 PPG compared to Jake Ferguson's 8.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did George Kittle and Jake Ferguson average in 2025?

George Kittle averaged 12.1 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 11 games in 2025. Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 3.4 points per game.

When are George Kittle and Jake Ferguson's bye weeks in 2026?

George Kittle (SF) has a bye in Week 14, and Jake Ferguson (DAL) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is George Kittle or Jake Ferguson a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

George Kittle outscored Jake Ferguson by 3.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.