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Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Bijan Robinson vs Jaylen Warren

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Bijan Robinson is the better fantasy play this season.

Bijan Robinson is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 19.5 PPG and 2,298 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Jaylen Warren (12.3 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Bijan Robinson as the starter and Jaylen Warren as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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RBAtlanta Falcons#3PPG LEADER
Bijan Robinson
PPG
19.5
Games
17
Rush Yds
1,478
Rush TDs
7
Rec
79
Rec Yds
820
Bye
Week 5
RBPittsburgh Steelers#18
Jaylen Warren
PPG
12.3
Games
16
Rush Yds
958
Rush TDs
6
Rec
40
Rec Yds
333
Bye
Week 5

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Bijan Robinson
Jaylen Warren

Head to Head

19.5 PPG12.3 PPG
17 GP16 GP
Bye: Week 5Bye: Week 5

Fantasy Tiers

Bijan Robinson: Tier 1 (Elite) RB (ranked #3 at the position). Jaylen Warren: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) RB (ranked #18 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Bijan Robinson is producing at 89% of elite pace and Jaylen Warren at 56%. That ranking gap means Bijan Robinson carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Bijan Robinson vs Jaylen Warren: Who Should You Start?

There is a real production gap between these two running backs. Bijan Robinson (Atlanta Falcons) averaged 19.5 PPG over 17 games in 2025, outscoring Jaylen Warren (Pittsburgh Steelers, 12.3 PPG) by 7.2 points per week. That separation would need a significant matchup swing to overcome.

A 7.2-PPG gap gives Bijan Robinson the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Both are three-down backs with real passing-game roles. Bijan Robinson caught 79 balls for 820 yards, and Jaylen Warren hauled in 40 for 333. That receiving workload gives them high PPR floors even in games where the ground attack gets stuffed, and it is why both stay on the field in obvious passing situations.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 5 bye. That means you need a backup plan at running back for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Bijan Robinson at a discount because your league-mates undervalue running back production, do it. Jaylen Warren is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Bijan Robinson (age 24) has not yet hit the RB cliff. High dynasty ceiling if volume holds. Jaylen Warren (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open.

Did You Know?

  • Bijan Robinson outscored Jaylen Warren by a projected 122 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Bijan Robinson played 17 games in 2025 compared to Jaylen Warren's 16. That durability gap means Bijan Robinson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Bijan Robinson scored 11 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
  • Bijan Robinson caught 79 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.
  • Both players share a Week 5 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatRobinsonWarren
PPG (Half-PPR)19.512.3
Games Played1716
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)332197
Rushing Yards1,478958
Rush Yds/Game86.959.9
Rushing TDs76
Receptions7940
Receiving Yards820333
Targets10345
Total TDs118
Age2427
Experience2 yrs3 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 5Week 5

Summary

Bijan Robinson outscored Jaylen Warren by 7.2 PPG in 2025 (19.5 to 12.3). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Bijan Robinson or Jaylen Warren in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Bijan Robinson has the edge at 19.5 PPG compared to Jaylen Warren's 12.3 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Bijan Robinson and Jaylen Warren average in 2025?

Bijan Robinson averaged 19.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Jaylen Warren averaged 12.3 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 7.2 points per game.

Do Bijan Robinson and Jaylen Warren share a bye week?

Yes, both Bijan Robinson and Jaylen Warren share a Week 5 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at running back for that week.

Is Bijan Robinson or Jaylen Warren a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Bijan Robinson outscored Jaylen Warren by 7.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.