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Head to Head

Updated May 14, 2026 from live stats

Anthony Richardson vs Davis Mills

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

The Bottom Line

Anthony Richardson is the better fantasy play this season.

Anthony Richardson is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 19.5 PPG and 3,298 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Davis Mills (11.4 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Anthony Richardson as the starter and Davis Mills as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBIndianapolis Colts#99PPG LEADER
Anthony Richardson
PPG
19.5
Games
13
Pass Yds
2,718
Pass TDs
18
Rush Yds
580
Rush TDs
7
Bye
Week 14
QBHouston Texans#36
Davis Mills
PPG
11.4
Games
6
Pass Yds
915
Pass TDs
5
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 6

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Anthony Richardson
Davis Mills

Head to Head

19.5 PPG11.4 PPG
13 GP6 GP
Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Anthony Richardson: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Anthony Richardson is producing at 89% of elite pace and Davis Mills at 52%. That ranking gap means Davis Mills carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Anthony Richardson vs Davis Mills: Who Should You Start?

Anthony Richardson and Davis Mills are at different tiers heading into 2026. The Indianapolis Colts quarterback averaged 19.5 PPG in 2025, a full 8.1 points per game ahead of Davis Mills's 11.4 with the Houston Texans. That kind of gap doesn't close on matchup alone.

A 8.1-PPG gap gives Anthony Richardson the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Anthony Richardson offers meaningful rushing upside with 580 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Davis Mills (915 passing yards, 5 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

Anthony Richardson has his bye in Week 14, and Davis Mills rests in Week 6. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Anthony Richardson at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Davis Mills is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Anthony Richardson (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Anthony Richardson outscored Davis Mills by a projected 138 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Anthony Richardson played 13 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means Anthony Richardson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Anthony Richardson scored 25 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.9 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Anthony Richardson added 580 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
Detailed Stat Breakdown
StatRichardsonMills
PPG (Half-PPR)19.511.4
Games Played136
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)25468
Passing Yards2,718915
Passing TDs185
Pass Yds/Game209.1152.5
Rushing Yards58060
Rushing TDs71
Total TDs256
TDs/Game1.91.0
Age-27
Experience-4 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 14Week 6

Summary

Anthony Richardson outscored Davis Mills by 8.1 PPG in 2025 (19.5 to 11.4). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Anthony Richardson or Davis Mills in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Anthony Richardson has the edge at 19.5 PPG compared to Davis Mills's 11.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Anthony Richardson and Davis Mills average in 2025?

Anthony Richardson averaged 19.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 13 games in 2025. Davis Mills averaged 11.4 PPG over 6 games. That is a difference of 8.1 points per game.

When are Anthony Richardson and Davis Mills's bye weeks in 2026?

Anthony Richardson (IND) has a bye in Week 14, and Davis Mills (HOU) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Anthony Richardson or Davis Mills a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Anthony Richardson outscored Davis Mills by 8.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.