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Head to Head

Updated September 9, 2026 from live stats

Alexander Mattison or Nick ChubbWho should you draft or start in 2026 fantasy football?

DraftCall Analytics

It is nearly a coin flip, but lean Nick Chubb over Alexander Mattison in 2026.

Nick Chubb (5.5 PPG) and Alexander Mattison (5.3) finished 2025 separated by under a point per game. Both play running backs, so that per-game gap is the cleanest tiebreaker for a 2026 start or sit.

The Bottom Line

This one is genuinely close. Nick Chubb edges Alexander Mattison by 0.2 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Nick Chubb goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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RBLas Vegas Raiders

Alexander Mattison

PPG

5.3

Games

Rush Yds

255

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

Bye

Week 10

RBHouston Texans#59PPG LEADER

Nick Chubb

PPG

5.5

Games

Rush Yds

506

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Alexander Mattison

Nick Chubb

Head to Head

5.3 PPG5.5 PPG

14 GP15 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Alexander Mattison: Unranked RB. Nick Chubb: Tier 6 (Deep League) RB (ranked #59 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Alexander Mattison is producing at 24% of elite pace and Nick Chubb at 25%. Their per-game production is close enough that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Alexander Mattison vs Nick Chubb: The Full Breakdown

Alexander Mattison (5.3 PPG) and Nick Chubb (5.5 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two running backs are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Alexander Mattison played 14 games for the Las Vegas Raiders; Nick Chubb suited up 15 times for the Houston Texans.

A 0.2-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Alexander Mattison ran for 255 yards and 2 touchdowns; Nick Chubb posted 506 and 3. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Alexander Mattison sits Week 10 while Nick Chubb is off Week 8. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Alexander Mattison (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open. Nick Chubb (age 30, 7 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Nick Chubb outscored Alexander Mattison by a projected 3 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Nick Chubb played 15 games in 2025 compared to Alexander Mattison's 14. That durability gap means Nick Chubb contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Nick Chubb scored 3 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Alexander Mattison vs Nick Chubb: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Alexander Mattison	Nick Chubb
PPG (Half-PPR)	5.3	5.5
Games Played	14	15
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	74	83
Rushing Yards	255	506
Rush Yds/Game	18.2	33.7
Rushing TDs	2	3
Receptions	14	13
Receiving Yards	95	67
Targets	0	20
Total TDs	2	3
Age	-	30
Experience	-	7 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 8

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Nick Chubb holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 5.5 points per game. Alexander Mattison averaged 5.3 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Alexander Mattison or Nick Chubb in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Nick Chubb has the edge at 5.5 PPG compared to Alexander Mattison's 5.3 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

Should I draft Alexander Mattison or Nick Chubb in 2026 fantasy football?▾

Nick Chubb and Alexander Mattison come off the board in the same range, so take whichever fits your roster build. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 fantasy points per game in 2025 to Alexander Mattison's 5.3, a gap of under a point. Positional rank, fantasy tier, and bye week are broken down below.

How many fantasy points did Alexander Mattison and Nick Chubb average in 2025?▾

Alexander Mattison averaged 5.3 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 0.2 points per game.

When are Alexander Mattison and Nick Chubb's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Alexander Mattison (LV) has a bye in Week 10, and Nick Chubb (HOU) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Alexander Mattison or Nick Chubb a better fantasy running back in 2026?▾

Nick Chubb outscored Alexander Mattison by 0.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.